NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	5.7 [681]		MVP	Delonte West (BOS): +19.0%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.2 [1118]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -16.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.01	18	69%	0.21	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Pape Sow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	16	69%	0.19	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Loren Woods	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	17	27%	-0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.01	12	81%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	61%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.02	18	60%	0.22	5	-0.16	17	71%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.07	9	83%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	45%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.8	17.0	24.2	2.3	31.4	132.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.5%

BOS +21.7%

BOS +0.2%

TOR -5.0%

TOR -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.6	101.1	117.0	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		107.3	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		104.8	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	15.0	17.7	14.2	16.0
BOS	13.2	13.8	15.8	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	4.5	16.5	-12.01	15.2	14.4	0.82
Pape Sow	53	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-13	12	16.3	15.6	0.77	14.7	14.1	0.55
Loren Woods	11	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	14.5	16.2	-1.65	12.2	14.7	-2.54
Charlie Villanueva	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-13	12	17.6	14.9	2.63	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Andre Barrett	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-8	2	14.2	16.8	-2.58	14.1	14.6	-0.58
Joey Graham	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-1	-12	15.3	16.7	-1.35	14.6	14.3	0.28
Chris Bosh	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-5	-4	16.6	14.2	2.44	15.0	13.1	1.84
Mike James	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-6	-2	16.4	11.9	4.50	14.5	14.2	0.24
Matt Bonner	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	0	-14	14.9	17.6	-2.63	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Morris Peterson	81	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	16.6	12.5	4.10	14.4	14.8	-0.39

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	52	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-3	20	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.1	17.0	-1.91
Ryan Gomes	72	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	2	10	14.0	15.9	-1.88	16.5	14.4	2.07
Wally Szczerbiak	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	2	10	14.3	14.7	-0.40	16.4	15.3	1.10
Paul Pierce	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	4	6	14.6	14.2	0.38	16.4	15.1	1.29
Delonte West	69	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	6	2	14.5	14.3	0.20	16.4	14.9	1.45
Orien Greene	25	24	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	8	-2	14.3	14.5	-0.20	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Tony Allen	41	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	11	-8	14.0	14.8	-0.87	15.7	16.2	-0.55
Gerald Green	18	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	11	-8	15.7	14.2	1.48	14.0	16.5	-2.47
Kendrick Perkins	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	12	-10	16.5	13.4	3.10	16.2	15.9	0.29
Dwayne Jones	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	15.2	14.4	0.82	4.5	16.5	-12.01
Raef LaFrentz	29	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	18	-22	13.9	14.7	-0.83	17.7	15.2	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	94.5%
POR 79, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	94.3%
DET 83, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%