NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	6.8 [469]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): +36.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	1.0 [1000]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -10.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37	0.23	0.14	0.00	12	89%	0.37	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.22	0.03	0.05	16	85%	0.25	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Brandin Podziemski	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05
Dario Saric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	7	29%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1	-0.18	0.01	-0.06	12	25%	-0.03	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.02	19	70%	0.23	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	4	92%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.03	0.05	20	52%	0.12	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.05
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	10	57%	0.08	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.5	14.5	26.7	2.0	36.0	131.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +50.9%

POR -30.9%

GSW +15.7%

GSW +13.2%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	14.5	121.6	118.8	113.9
season	14.3	14.8		116.2	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		116.2	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.7	13.6	16.3	16.5	15.4
POR	15.7	13.6	14.3	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	63	63	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-10	24	15.5	15.4	0.09	14.6	14.1	0.51
Trayce Jackson-Davis	36	35	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-4	12	14.4	16.1	-1.68	15.6	13.7	1.85
Moses Moody	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	-5	14	13.8	16.5	-2.63	15.8	13.5	2.31
Brandin Podziemski	68	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	15.3	15.9	-0.60	14.9	13.3	1.59
Andrew Wiggins	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.38	-3	7	-10	16.5	13.8	2.67	13.7	15.4	-1.71
Klay Thompson	59	58	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	9	-14	16.5	13.8	2.63	13.5	15.8	-2.31
Jonathan Kuminga	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	0	4	13.8	16.5	-2.67	15.4	13.7	1.71
Kevon Looney	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	6	-8	16.4	15.0	1.43	14.4	14.4	0.03
Chris Paul	65	65	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	8	-12	15.3	15.8	-0.50	13.3	16.6	-3.27
Dario Saric	30	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	16.4	15.0	1.43	13.8	14.7	-0.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	35	37	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-8	12	13.9	14.7	-0.80	15.8	15.2	0.55
Scoot Henderson	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-4	4	14.5	14.3	0.23	16.4	14.7	1.70
Jabari Walker	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-4	4	15.3	14.0	1.26	15.7	15.3	0.32
Toumani Camara	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	1	-6	15.1	13.8	1.30	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Shaedon Sharpe	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-4	4	14.4	14.4	-0.09	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Deandre Ayton	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-1	-2	14.0	15.3	-1.26	15.3	15.7	-0.32
Malcolm Brogdon	53	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-2	0	14.1	14.8	-0.76	16.0	14.7	1.31
Anfernee Simons	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.5	14.2	0.21	15.5	15.4	0.06
Jerami Grant	82	84	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	9	-22	14.4	14.6	-0.21	14.9	18.8	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.47,0.26,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	94.1%
WAS 104, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.5%
ATL 103, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	92.2%