NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	8.4 [222]		MVP	Dillon Brooks (HOU): +28.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	4.6 [354]		LVP	Jacob Gilyard (MEM): -13.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.28	0.08	0.19	-0.01	20	59%	0.37	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	12	55%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	36%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jock Landale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	9	48%	0.00	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Reggie Bullock Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	12	48%	-0.00	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.05
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	9	25%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	25	53%	0.21	4	-0.15	3	67%	0.02
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.01	8	69%	0.10	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	23	42%	0.09	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	-0.02	8	61%	0.10	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Gilyard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	28.3	15.4	29.4	2.3	37.5	138.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +3.5%

HOU +2.9%

HOU +4.8%

HOU +34.9%

HOU +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	16.0	14.5	106.2	99.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		113.2	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		113.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.3	12.1	10.8	15.6	13.7
MEM	15.0	17.2	19.2	12.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	83	82	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	4	-1	14.3	9.9	4.38	15.5	18.8	-3.30
Alperen Sengun	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	6	-5	14.0	13.1	0.87	16.2	15.7	0.43
Tari Eason	47	45	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	-4	15	12.1	15.1	-3.01	17.4	14.8	2.68
Aaron Holiday	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	0	7	12.9	14.2	-1.27	17.7	14.9	2.75
Fred VanVleet	73	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	5	-3	13.8	13.3	0.46	15.5	17.7	-2.15
Jabari Smith Jr.	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.29	-2	9	-11	14.8	11.5	3.24	14.3	19.1	-4.83
Jalen Green	55	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	9	-11	14.1	13.1	1.07	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Jeff Green	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	-1	9	12.5	14.4	-1.91	16.8	15.5	1.24
Jock Landale	15	17	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	3	1	12.6	13.9	-1.28	16.9	15.8	1.06
Reggie Bullock Jr.	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.08	3	4	-1	11.9	13.8	-1.97	20.7	15.6	5.07

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	17	17	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-18	29	16.5	15.9	0.63	16.3	13.1	3.17
Jake LaRavia	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-1	-5	17.7	15.6	2.11	13.1	13.8	-0.67
Jacob Gilyard	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-3	-1	17.1	15.5	1.62	11.8	14.6	-2.80
Bismack Biyombo	66	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-11	15	16.5	15.0	1.53	15.0	11.0	4.02
Desmond Bane	81	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-9	11	15.3	19.7	-4.40	14.3	10.6	3.73
Jaren Jackson Jr.	64	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	15.6	16.9	-1.32	13.5	14.0	-0.46
Ziaire Williams	29	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	6	-19	17.3	15.5	1.81	11.9	14.5	-2.58
David Roddy	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	15.2	17.1	-1.85	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Santi Aldama	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	5	-17	16.5	15.3	1.16	12.2	15.6	-3.38
Vince Williams Jr.	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	0	-7	15.3	17.3	-1.95	14.4	12.4	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.02,0	93.4%
SAS 104, CHA 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	92.5%
DAL 95, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.17,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	92.3%