NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	7.5 [356]		MVP	James Ennis III (PHI): +49.1%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	8.2 [373]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -16.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.23	0.28	0.02	5	105%	0.49	0	0.00	9	100%	0.10
Joel Embiid	0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.16	-0.01	19	51%	0.30	3	-0.10	15	87%	0.08
Tobias Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	16	59%	0.15	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norvel Pelle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	11	47%	-0.04	4	-0.12	10	50%	-0.08

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	12	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	13	67%	0.22	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	13	56%	0.04	4	-0.07	13	69%	-0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	60%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	46%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	30.9	14.8	30.2	2.0	46.2	154.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.7%

PHI +40.8%

NYK -1.9%

NYK -2.8%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.2	105.2	99.0	109.6
season	14.8	14.5		110.0	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.1		111.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	15.7	13.2	15.6	15.4
NYK	14.9	13.2	16.8	13.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	43	42	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-11	28	15.8	15.1	0.71	14.7	14.6	0.07
Joel Embiid	73	73	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-6	18	15.1	16.2	-1.11	14.1	16.4	-2.32
Furkan Korkmaz	65	66	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-6	18	14.4	17.4	-2.97	14.5	14.9	-0.45
Ben Simmons	77	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	14.8	17.5	-2.68	14.3	15.7	-1.36
Mike Scott	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	3	0	15.9	15.0	0.94	16.8	13.1	3.69
Trey Burke	31	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	4	-2	17.1	14.5	2.59	15.7	14.2	1.52
Tobias Harris	73	72	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	10	-14	15.5	15.0	0.44	13.6	17.6	-4.00
Raul Neto	12	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	4	-2	16.6	15.2	1.38	14.7	14.6	0.08
Norvel Pelle	23	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	12	-18	16.2	15.1	1.11	16.4	14.1	2.32
Matisse Thybulle	43	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	14	-22	15.1	15.6	-0.51	14.2	15.0	-0.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	58	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-15	24	14.4	15.0	-0.66	15.8	14.7	1.14
Marcus Morris Sr.	69	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-14	22	14.0	16.1	-2.07	15.4	15.3	0.14
Julius Randle	73	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-9	12	14.1	16.2	-2.09	14.8	17.0	-2.17
Mitchell Robinson	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-5	4	15.5	13.5	1.98	16.0	14.5	1.55
Taj Gibson	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	14.2	14.9	-0.64	15.6	15.2	0.33
Dennis Smith Jr.	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	6	-18	15.9	14.1	1.81	15.8	15.2	0.65
Wayne Ellington	25	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	0	-6	12.9	15.2	-2.36	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Frank Ntilikina	75	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-7	8	14.9	13.5	1.41	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Bobby Portis	23	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	3	-12	16.2	14.1	2.09	16.4	15.0	1.39
Damyean Dotson	39	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	13	-32	14.8	14.5	0.37	14.1	16.3	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.17,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	92.4%
NOP 114, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.03,0	91.8%
IND 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.01,0	90.9%