inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 104 Excitement6.7 [484] MVPJaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +28.5%
Houston Rockets 117 Comeback1.0 [1089] LVPDavid Roddy (MEM): -11.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.0.280,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.280.250.050.012472%0.353-0.071385%0.03
Derrick Rose0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.03-0.021459%0.141-0.024100%0.02
Santi Aldama0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00487%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Jacob Gilyard0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.001150%0.0600.0000%0.00
Vince Williams Jr.0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02562%0.0500.00667%-0.03
John Konchar-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ziaire Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02826%-0.031-0.023100%0.03
Jaylen Nowell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.00-0.00230%-0.032-0.04617%-0.10
Jake LaRavia-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.040.00633%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
David Roddy-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.001430%-0.101-0.02250%-0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.160.030.041077%0.161-0.02650%-0.03
Tari Eason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.030.031669%0.173-0.06450%-0.03
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.040.023100%0.152-0.073100%0.03
Reggie Bullock Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jae'Sean Tate0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01948%0.0500.00333%-0.03
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.050.06-0.04844%0.113-0.06978%0.02
Aaron Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.04-0.00650%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Jock Landale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dillon Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.02861%0.044-0.082100%0.01
Alperen Sengun0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00841%-0.002-0.05683%0.01
Jalen Green0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.021229%-0.063-0.054100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.626.615.032.02.035.4138.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +19.4%
HOU +15.4%
HOU +32.2%
MEM -17.4%
HOU +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMHOUNBAMEMHOUNBA
this game14.113.814.5102.0111.4113.9
season14.814.2106.3113.2
opponent14.614.3112.2113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.213.911.716.714.1
HOU12.014.315.413.313.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacob Gilyard27270.04-0.540.580.011-141512.814.5-1.7116.013.03.01
Bismack Biyombo5154-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-11914.513.70.7613.014.5-1.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.8488-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-121113.915.0-1.1313.714.2-0.49
David Roddy6671-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-141514.613.11.5213.314.7-1.44
Jaylen Nowell1819-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-8313.214.2-1.0312.614.0-1.44
John Konchar1615-0.26-0.24-0.010.13-130-1314.514.00.5113.713.8-0.11
Vince Williams Jr.5860-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.22-3-10714.713.31.3613.414.2-0.81
Santi Aldama3635-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-2-912.814.7-1.9114.413.41.00
Jake LaRavia3433-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-141-1514.413.90.4314.613.41.28
Derrick Rose6466-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.04-141-1515.112.42.7113.713.9-0.30
Ziaire Williams7374-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.20-9-4-513.415.7-2.2213.713.8-0.11

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tari Eason57580.62-0.120.740.0619-62513.613.9-0.2514.313.70.64
Fred VanVleet85820.57-0.070.630.0418-52313.714.1-0.4814.910.74.13
Dillon Brooks62590.51-0.010.520.161211113.214.6-1.4315.112.72.37
Jabari Smith Jr.65620.410.090.330.09112913.614.0-0.4215.112.42.75
Jeff Green27270.400.100.300.10103713.213.9-0.7316.013.42.63
Jock Landale22230.240.26-0.03-0.151301314.513.60.9312.814.4-1.66
Reggie Bullock Jr.14140.120.38-0.26-0.0667-114.413.70.6914.514.00.50
Jae'Sean Tate5251-0.050.55-0.610.06-417-2114.113.40.7012.415.7-3.31
Jalen Green5350-0.080.58-0.65-0.05-114-1514.013.60.4013.414.7-1.35
Aaron Holiday3333-0.090.58-0.670.18-922-3114.113.60.5211.115.5-4.40
Alperen Sengun5551-0.150.65-0.800.15-1023-3313.913.60.3913.714.5-0.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 124, BOS 1290.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,0.92,194.8%
LAC 97, HOU 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.7%
ATL 82, DET 890.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.99,193.5%