NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	128		Excitement	6.9 [439]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +26.7%
Toronto Raptors	135		Comeback	3.0 [485]		LVP	Saddiq Bey (ATL): -14.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.09	-0.05	13	69%	0.23	1	0.03	3	67%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	9	72%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.04	0.03	12	61%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	17	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.02	27	58%	0.10	5	-0.13	6	83%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	0.06	14	39%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.05	0.01	19	73%	0.31	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.06	0.02	13	85%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.03	14	87%	0.26	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	11	55%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	11	65%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.04	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	31.4	15.3	25.6	2.4	36.3	138.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +55.1%

TOR +10.0%

TOR +8.8%

ATL -24.9%

TOR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	13.9	14.5	125.5	132.4	113.9
season	14.2	14.0		115.7	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.3		117.6	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	15.8	13.9	13.4	14.3
TOR	13.1	14.8	14.3	13.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	38	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-10	13	14.8	14.0	0.75	14.4	13.7	0.76
Onyeka Okongwu	61	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.25	5	-12	17	15.0	13.2	1.84	14.3	13.4	0.84
Bogdan Bogdanovic	69	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-12	17	13.9	15.1	-1.22	14.0	13.8	0.26
Wesley Matthews	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	4	-15	14.1	14.4	-0.27	13.7	14.0	-0.34
Trae Young	84	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	14.0	15.6	-1.53	13.9	14.3	-0.48
Saddiq Bey	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-4	1	14.0	15.5	-1.45	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Dejounte Murray	73	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	10	-27	14.4	14.0	0.36	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Clint Capela	73	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	10	-27	14.4	14.0	0.36	13.9	14.1	-0.22

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	78	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-10	27	13.8	14.5	-0.68	14.8	12.8	1.93
Pascal Siakam	77	77	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-8	23	14.1	13.4	0.66	14.0	15.1	-1.04
Dennis Schroder	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-8	23	14.1	13.4	0.74	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Jakob Poeltl	69	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-5	17	13.8	14.2	-0.36	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Scottie Barnes	71	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	0	7	13.3	15.4	-2.03	14.9	12.6	2.28
Precious Achiuwa	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	12	-17	14.6	13.6	1.00	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Malachi Flynn	38	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	15	-23	14.0	13.9	0.09	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Gary Trent Jr.	43	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	15	-23	14.2	13.7	0.50	13.3	15.0	-1.67
Chris Boucher	21	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	17	-27	14.0	13.9	0.01	15.1	14.1	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.86,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.65,0.88,0.96,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.3%
WAS 92, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
MIA 89, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%