NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.8 [478]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +20.4%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	3.0 [857]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -15.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	13	67%	0.13	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
JaVale McGee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Nick Young	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	20	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03
Andray Blatche	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	17	36%	-0.09	1	-0.06	10	80%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.01	11	80%	0.25	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	9	61%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	3	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	53%	0.04	4	-0.11	14	57%	-0.07
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	17	39%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	31.5	17.7	30.0	1.8	39.0	146.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.9%

DAL +8.6%

WAS -2.1%

WAS -10.6%

DAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.5	102.2	112.1	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		100.9	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.8	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.4	16.4	16.2	14.0	15.8
DAL	17.0	14.9	13.8	18.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-8	6	0.0	15.8	-15.78	8.0	16.1	-8.13
Al Thornton	27	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-10	10	16.6	15.4	1.11	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Kirk Hinrich	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-9	8	15.3	16.0	-0.69	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Trevor Booker	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	15.4	15.9	-0.46	16.8	15.8	0.97
Yi Jianlian	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-7	4	15.7	15.9	-0.19	15.4	17.1	-1.79
JaVale McGee	24	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	16.4	15.6	0.81	16.5	15.9	0.66
Rashard Lewis	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.2	18.4	-3.25	15.9	16.7	-0.81
Nick Young	72	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-5	0	15.9	15.3	0.63	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Andray Blatche	71	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	16.1	14.7	1.39	16.5	14.6	1.92
John Wall	77	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	2	-14	15.8	15.4	0.46	16.6	12.4	4.18

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.03	20	-10	30	16.7	14.6	2.19	14.8	18.1	-3.33
Shawn Marion	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	7	-4	16.2	15.9	0.30	16.7	14.3	2.44
Jason Terry	67	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	6	-2	15.6	17.4	-1.86	16.2	14.6	1.63
Jason Kidd	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	3	4	15.1	19.0	-3.84	16.0	15.2	0.75
Tyson Chandler	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	2	6	15.2	17.7	-2.48	15.5	16.3	-0.88
Jose Juan Barea	24	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	7	-4	18.3	15.2	3.11	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Ian Mahinmi	16	15	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	8	-6	16.7	15.9	0.86	16.5	15.6	0.83
Brian Cardinal	59	59	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	11	-12	15.5	17.0	-1.52	16.0	15.3	0.69
Brendan Haywood	15	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	10	-10	18.7	15.5	3.14	16.2	15.7	0.56
DeShawn Stevenson	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	6	-2	17.0	15.7	1.28	14.8	16.2	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.84,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.6%
DAL 94, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
MEM 83, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%