NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	125		Excitement	7.7 [327]		MVP	Dante Exum (DAL): +53.9%
Dallas Mavericks	127		Comeback	2.4 [367]		LVP	Jaden Hardy (DAL): -13.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.20	0.11	0.01	21	71%	0.37	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.06
Taurean Prince	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	6	125%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17	0.07	0.14	0.03	27	58%	0.31	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.01	14	67%	0.24	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Max Christie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54	0.54	0.27	0.29	0.01	10	108%	0.56	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.01	21	64%	0.29	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.07	0.01	9	106%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.02	28	53%	0.23	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.8	30.6	16.4	27.8	3.5	29.0	140.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +20.6%

DAL +10.6%

LAL -4.5%

DAL +23.4%

LAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	16.2	14.5	128.9	130.9	113.9
season	14.1	14.3		114.4	115.6
opponent	14.6	14.3		113.6	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	11.6	12.4	14.1	13.5
DAL	12.8	15.5	18.1	18.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Christie	13	13	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.07	5	-7	12	14.2	13.4	0.84	13.0	16.7	-3.68
Jaxson Hayes	27	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-1	0	14.8	13.0	1.76	13.2	17.2	-4.02
D'Angelo Russell	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	4	-10	13.7	13.2	0.53	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Cam Reddish	47	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	8	-18	14.5	12.6	1.95	15.3	17.0	-1.67
Austin Reaves	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-6	10	13.6	13.4	0.19	16.3	15.9	0.38
Taurean Prince	72	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.51	5	-7	12	12.9	15.1	-2.18	17.0	13.6	3.43
Anthony Davis	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-1	0	12.9	15.5	-2.64	16.9	13.8	3.12
Rui Hachimura	57	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	0	-2	13.5	13.6	-0.12	16.0	16.4	-0.36
LeBron James	80	81	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.52	-4	2	-6	13.3	14.6	-1.31	17.0	12.1	4.86

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	87	87	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-8	18	16.6	12.7	3.89	13.7	11.6	2.12
Grant Williams	80	80	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-5	12	17.2	11.4	5.79	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Dereck Lively II	58	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-6	14	17.1	14.8	2.24	13.4	13.6	-0.23
Dante Exum	68	71	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-5	12	16.9	14.4	2.53	14.1	11.8	2.32
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	73	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.46	-6	8	-14	16.7	14.4	2.29	13.2	14.5	-1.32
Seth Curry	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	-2	6	15.0	16.6	-1.59	11.4	14.4	-2.97
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	5	-8	8.3	16.4	-8.10	15.3	13.4	1.89
A.J. Lawson	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	5	-8	0.0	16.4	-16.35	0.0	13.5	-13.51
Jaden Hardy	40	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	13.4	18.1	-4.66	15.0	12.5	2.46
Richaun Holmes	32	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	6	-10	14.1	17.2	-3.17	14.1	13.2	0.87
Markieff Morris	15	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	12	-22	15.4	16.3	-0.93	10.6	14.0	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.68,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	93.0%
PHX 98, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.92,1	93.0%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	92.6%