NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	127		Excitement	9.9 [77]		MVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): +24.5%
LA Clippers	132		Comeback	2.5 [734]		LVP	Moses Brown (POR): -10.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	17	63%	0.28	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	6	92%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.08,0.03	0.17	-0.12	0.03	23	64%	0.28	3	-0.25	13	100%	0.09
Scoot Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	16	59%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Moses Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.21,0.23	0.23	0.22	0.02	0.01	19	72%	0.35	1	-0.11	9	100%	0.09
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	14	65%	0.15	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	6	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.07	0.02	13	69%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	75%	0.13	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.11	-0.00	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	31.4	15.3	23.4	2.3	49.5	147.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -24.5%

LAC +24.1%

LAC +41.2%

LAC +10.5%

POR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	14.5	130.9	134.7	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		106.9	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.2	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.8	13.9	14.9	13.7	14.8
LAC	12.6	17.4	15.7	13.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scoot Henderson	59	61	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-16	27	14.3	15.6	-1.33	15.2	13.9	1.28
Moses Brown	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-6	7	15.5	14.5	0.92	15.3	14.5	0.84
Duop Reath	50	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-5	5	15.7	13.9	1.85	15.7	13.5	2.21
Jabari Walker	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-6	7	13.8	15.7	-1.86	13.9	15.5	-1.66
Toumani Camara	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	0	-5	14.9	14.5	0.44	14.9	14.1	0.80
Anfernee Simons	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	4	-13	14.9	14.3	0.60	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Matisse Thybulle	63	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	4	-13	14.7	15.1	-0.45	14.7	14.8	-0.17
Shaedon Sharpe	83	83	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	10	-25	14.9	14.5	0.38	14.3	17.1	-2.78

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	78	78	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	14.2	16.8	-2.68	15.0	14.1	0.89
Paul George	84	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	2	1	15.0	12.7	2.33	15.0	13.7	1.37
James Harden	75	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	2	1	15.0	13.8	1.22	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Norman Powell	55	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	2	1	13.7	16.1	-2.42	14.0	15.8	-1.86
Ivica Zubac	64	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	3	-1	15.7	12.9	2.81	15.4	13.6	1.78
Terance Mann	57	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	0	5	15.2	14.1	1.06	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Daniel Theis	31	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	4	-3	14.0	15.1	-1.09	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Russell Westbrook	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	5	-5	13.9	15.2	-1.24	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Kobe Brown	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	10	-15	16.1	14.5	1.55	15.0	14.8	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.6,0.36,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 105, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	91.3%
ORL 106, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.67,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	91.3%
MIN 97, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.37,0.75,0.73,1	90.8%