NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	9.0 [124]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +71.9%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.7 [774]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -20.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.72	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,0.83,0.72,0.72	0.40	0.31	-0.00	28	86%	0.89	4	-0.18	7	100%	0.08
Festus Ezeli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	83%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	83%	0.15	5	-0.16	10	90%	0.03
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	13	23%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	15	47%	0.05	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.16	0.24	0.00	19	68%	0.44	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.02,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	0.01	26	52%	0.27	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	7	87%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	9	64%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	4	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	10	38%	-0.15	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	35.0	17.6	27.8	3.0	37.4	149.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -43.6%

NYK +12.9%

NYK +37.2%

NYK +43.1%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.4	111.7	112.4	104.1
season	14.6	16.2		104.6	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	13.9	16.5	13.0	14.6
NYK	14.2	14.9	14.2	18.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	27	29	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.12	11	-15	26	13.8	15.0	-1.17	17.3	14.7	2.64
Harrison Barnes	40	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	2	-8	14.0	15.1	-1.04	14.7	16.1	-1.33
Andris Biedrins	18	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	2	-8	14.9	14.6	0.30	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Carl Landry	63	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	14.8	14.3	0.49	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Festus Ezeli	32	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.3	14.3	1.05	15.8	15.4	0.40
Jarrett Jack	72	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	14.5	15.2	-0.76	15.9	14.3	1.58
Draymond Green	54	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	3	-10	14.4	15.0	-0.70	15.8	15.1	0.70
Klay Thompson	70	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	1	-6	15.2	13.0	2.16	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Stephen Curry	94	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.6	0.0	14.65	15.5	0.0	15.49

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	81	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-7	18	14.8	19.2	-4.42	14.8	13.9	0.86
Carmelo Anthony	82	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-7	18	14.7	19.6	-4.86	14.9	13.4	1.49
Iman Shumpert	46	45	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.22	12	-8	20	14.7	16.2	-1.52	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Tyson Chandler	86	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-4	12	15.4	16.0	-0.57	14.8	13.6	1.22
J.R. Smith	70	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	0	4	15.9	14.5	1.35	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Jason Kidd	40	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	14.0	16.5	-2.50	14.2	15.0	-0.76
Amar'e Stoudemire	37	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	8	-12	16.9	14.6	2.30	14.9	14.5	0.41
James White	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	4	-4	8.0	15.7	-7.73	13.5	14.7	-1.17
Steve Novak	16	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	11	-18	19.2	14.8	4.42	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Kenyon Martin	8	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	14	-24	21.4	15.0	6.41	15.6	14.6	1.07
Pablo Prigioni	16	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	11	-18	19.2	14.8	4.42	13.9	14.8	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.84,1	91.6%
POR 100, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.91,1	91.3%
CHI 100, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	91.1%