NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	130		Excitement	8.0 [282]		MVP	Quentin Grimes (NYK): +29.4%
New York Knicks	136		Comeback	1.4 [793]		LVP	Chris Boucher (TOR): -5.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	13	69%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.06	20	69%	0.25	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.05	0.05	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	54%	0.14	1	-0.06	7	43%	-0.03
Malachi Flynn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.15	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.11	-0.00	11	86%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.16	0.01	21	59%	0.30	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.11	-0.00	8	89%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.03	21	69%	0.27	3	-0.10	7	71%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	12	70%	0.22	7	-0.19	6	67%	-0.02
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	27.4	15.3	27.4	1.8	40.2	140.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +68.7%

TOR -10.2%

NYK +3.4%

TOR -7.6%

TOR -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	14.5	131.3	136.0	113.9
season	14.0	15.6		111.3	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.2	17.3	15.0	13.2	14.6
NYK	15.6	13.5	13.8	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Flynn	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-9	12	15.0	14.4	0.63	14.4	14.3	0.12
Gary Trent Jr.	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-9	12	14.5	14.6	-0.10	14.3	14.4	-0.16
Pascal Siakam	74	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.27	6	-12	18	14.2	15.6	-1.36	14.7	13.4	1.24
Gradey Dick	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	0	-6	17.3	14.3	3.02	12.4	14.6	-2.18
Jakob Poeltl	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	0	-6	15.0	14.2	0.78	14.8	13.9	0.93
Precious Achiuwa	44	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-5	4	13.7	15.3	-1.67	14.0	14.7	-0.74
Chris Boucher	20	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	2	-10	16.5	14.1	2.46	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Dennis Schroder	67	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	14.5	14.7	-0.24	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Scottie Barnes	80	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	4	-14	14.9	13.2	1.77	14.3	14.7	-0.47
OG Anunoby	77	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	13.9	17.0	-3.10	14.5	13.9	0.58

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-2	10	14.0	15.0	-0.97	14.3	15.2	-0.98
Quentin Grimes	55	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-4	14	14.7	14.0	0.65	15.0	14.1	0.85
Isaiah Hartenstein	56	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	6	-6	14.4	14.3	0.12	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Jalen Brunson	79	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	5	-4	14.6	13.6	0.94	14.2	15.7	-1.50
RJ Barrett	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.26	1	5	-4	14.1	14.9	-0.82	15.1	13.5	1.56
Julius Randle	75	72	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	7	-8	14.6	13.7	0.91	13.7	16.9	-3.22
Miles McBride	21	23	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	13.6	14.6	-0.94	15.7	14.2	1.50
Jericho Sims	43	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	1	4	14.6	14.2	0.43	15.4	14.0	1.33
Donte DiVincenzo	38	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	5	-4	14.2	14.5	-0.28	15.3	14.2	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.63,0.73,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,1	93.5%
SAS 88, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	93.4%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.4%