inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 129 Excitement4.6 [855] MVPBogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +18.6%
Atlanta Hawks 122 Comeback2.7 [584] LVPMichael Porter Jr. (DEN): -10.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.170,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.170.150.030.001594%0.256-0.081100%0.01
Julian Strawther0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.110.01-0.051669%0.202-0.0300%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.150.170.040.061376%0.171-0.01786%0.01
Aaron Gordon0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.021072%0.122-0.05580%0.01
Christian Braun0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Zeke Nnaji0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.02260%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Peyton Watson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.041057%0.001-0.001100%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.02640%0.002-0.05875%0.03
Michael Porter Jr.-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.16-0.01-0.061112%-0.091-0.02250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.190.190.320.000.142480%0.211-0.032100%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011162%0.0700.00475%-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02564%0.0300.001100%0.00
AJ Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.001261%0.075-0.097100%0.03
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.06-0.050.051158%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.04520%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.040.032246%-0.052-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.829.014.635.54.537.5146.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +42.3%
DEN +7.3%
DEN +15.9%
ATL -7.1%
ATL -8.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game13.815.314.5130.3123.2113.9
season15.014.2116.2115.7
opponent14.314.6118.0111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.511.212.315.513.8
ATL14.817.615.313.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray59590.57-0.070.630.1614-72114.113.40.6815.614.80.73
Michael Porter Jr.51520.480.020.460.1312-51715.312.32.9816.114.31.79
Aaron Gordon59580.460.040.430.209-21113.913.70.1415.315.30.02
Nikola Jokic72720.460.040.410.228-1914.711.53.1515.215.6-0.48
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope60600.450.050.410.1311-41513.913.70.2315.215.4-0.13
Zeke Nnaji27270.040.46-0.410.07-18-911.514.7-3.1515.615.20.48
Julian Strawther58590.040.46-0.430.15-411-1513.813.9-0.1215.215.4-0.15
Christian Braun25230.030.47-0.440.09-29-1112.114.4-2.2614.815.4-0.65
Peyton Watson44450.030.47-0.450.23-714-2113.014.5-1.5414.715.8-1.09
Reggie Jackson4040-0.060.56-0.610.09-512-1713.414.1-0.6814.815.6-0.73

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
AJ Griffin20190.00-0.500.50-0.031-8914.215.6-1.3612.814.0-1.20
Wesley Matthews3939-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-5314.715.7-0.9713.114.3-1.25
Onyeka Okongwu6159-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-111514.316.8-2.4513.913.70.18
Bogdan Bogdanovic7373-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-5314.916.2-1.2913.714.2-0.52
Trae Young5655-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.07-81-915.914.51.4013.214.5-1.29
Garrison Mathews3435-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-92-1116.614.61.9913.114.2-1.12
Clint Capela5556-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-3-4115.215.4-0.2314.712.62.09
Dejounte Murray7678-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.26-81-915.414.70.7114.212.22.05
Saddiq Bey8181-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-81-915.813.02.7914.112.41.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 127, CLE 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
DET 103, CLE 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
IND 108, NJN 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%