NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	131		Excitement	6.4 [531]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): +27.2%
Detroit Pistons	123		Comeback	1.6 [909]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -14.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.10	-0.00	17	71%	0.30	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	93%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	9	89%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.01	15	64%	0.21	2	-0.06	6	50%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	11	42%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	12	56%	0.01	7	-0.16	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	6	87%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.04	10	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	5	93%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	21	55%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	14	49%	-0.00	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.0	14.5	31.4	1.6	31.5	132.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.2%

IND +2.6%

IND +20.0%

DET -4.4%

DET -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	13.4	14.5	122.4	118.3	113.9
season	13.8	14.2		120.0	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.7		117.6	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.3	13.7	13.9	15.7	13.9
DET	13.9	14.0	13.3	12.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-4	16	13.8	13.9	-0.04	14.2	12.2	1.94
Bennedict Mathurin	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	0	8	13.9	13.8	0.06	13.3	13.8	-0.45
Bruce Brown	83	80	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	13.7	14.5	-0.89	13.4	13.4	0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	13.7	14.1	-0.39	13.8	12.7	1.05
Aaron Nesmith	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	2	4	14.2	13.5	0.69	13.8	13.0	0.76
Buddy Hield	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	6	-4	14.4	12.7	1.71	13.2	13.9	-0.63
T.J. McConnell	35	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	8	-8	14.1	13.7	0.39	12.7	13.8	-1.05
Obi Toppin	31	28	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	12.4	14.4	-2.01	13.5	13.4	0.13
Isaiah Jackson	41	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	12	-16	13.9	13.8	0.04	12.2	14.2	-1.94

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Livers	36	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-14	20	13.1	13.6	-0.59	14.9	13.3	1.54
James Wiseman	29	29	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-12	16	12.5	13.8	-1.33	14.4	13.7	0.73
Kevin Knox II	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	11.0	13.5	-2.51	12.7	13.9	-1.22
Alec Burks	29	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-6	4	12.5	13.8	-1.33	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Killian Hayes	52	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	13.4	13.4	0.00	13.6	14.1	-0.45
Jaden Ivey	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	13.6	13.0	0.65	13.8	13.9	-0.05
Ausar Thompson	71	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	0	-8	13.9	12.5	1.45	14.0	13.6	0.34
Cade Cunningham	81	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	13.3	13.9	-0.60	13.8	14.2	-0.47
Isaiah Stewart	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	2	-12	13.9	12.3	1.59	13.9	13.8	0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	76	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	4	-16	13.5	13.2	0.26	13.5	14.8	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.3%
DET 113, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
NOH 97, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%