NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	6.2 [516]		MVP	Frank Jackson (DET): +24.9%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.4 [534]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (HOU): -23.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Jackson	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.11	0.05	10	92%	0.28	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.04
Josh Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	12	62%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	15	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Saben Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sekou Doumbouya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deividas Sirvydis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jerami Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	21	38%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	16	52%	0.09	6	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Anthony Lamb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.04	-0.10	0.10	18	49%	-0.15	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	28.2	14.4	27.4	1.7	28.0	126.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.0%

DET +22.6%

HOU -3.3%

HOU -0.0%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	14.4	115.3	103.1	111.3
season	15.0	14.1		107.0	106.2
opponent	14.0	14.2		113.9	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.2	14.4	13.8	17.0	14.8
HOU	12.4	18.3	15.6	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Jackson	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-2	17	15.1	14.5	0.63	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Delon Wright	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-1	15	15.3	14.2	1.01	13.6	16.3	-2.70
Mason Plumlee	45	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-3	19	15.6	14.2	1.31	13.3	15.9	-2.61
Jerami Grant	62	61	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	3	7	15.4	13.9	1.56	13.6	16.5	-2.83
Josh Jackson	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	6	1	14.5	15.3	-0.77	15.2	14.0	1.22
Saddiq Bey	66	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	8	-3	15.2	14.2	1.03	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Isaiah Stewart	50	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	16	-19	14.4	15.4	-0.99	16.1	13.2	2.87
Dennis Smith Jr.	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	14	-15	14.4	15.1	-0.71	16.6	13.5	3.03
Tyler Cook	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	13	-13	15.0	14.8	0.19	15.9	14.4	1.47
Sekou Doumbouya	15	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	10	-7	12.8	15.2	-2.42	18.0	14.2	3.82
Saben Lee	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	14	-15	13.5	15.3	-1.84	16.5	14.1	2.40

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Lamb	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	0.0	14.7	-14.69	1.0	15.0	-13.99
Kevin Porter Jr.	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-11	9	15.8	14.4	1.46	12.7	15.4	-2.77
D.J. Wilson	11	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-12	11	16.6	14.4	2.19	15.8	14.7	1.06
D.J. Augustin	39	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-14	15	15.9	13.9	2.02	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Jae'Sean Tate	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-10	7	14.3	15.5	-1.17	14.9	14.7	0.20
Sterling Brown	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.2	14.2	0.97	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Victor Oladipo	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	13.8	17.8	-4.04	15.4	13.0	2.45
Christian Wood	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	1	-15	13.9	15.9	-2.02	14.9	14.7	0.20
Kenyon Martin Jr.	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	15.9	13.8	2.10	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Danuel House Jr.	68	69	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	14.9	14.2	0.64	15.5	13.2	2.28
John Wall	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.07	-14	1	-15	14.1	15.7	-1.63	15.0	14.6	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.0%
UTA 103, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.9%
DET 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%