inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 126 Excitement7.0 [431] MVPDerrick Jones Jr. (DAL): +23.3%
Dallas Mavericks 120 Comeback10.2 [181] LVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): -34.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Williams0.190,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.190.080.130.031957%0.211-0.022100%0.00
Davis Bertans0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.200.000.043125%0.1700.006100%0.02
Isaiah Joe0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.020.10-0.01650%0.1300.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.13-0.000.016100%0.151-0.032100%0.01
Chet Holmgren0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0.1,0.1-0.040.08-0.051046%0.182-0.07475%0.01
Cason Wallace0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.02-0.021258%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.060.030.040.011357%0.092-0.03475%-0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00462%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.041338%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34-0.08-0.260.001336%-0.312-0.03250%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.130.10-0.001575%0.283-0.052100%0.00
Dereck Lively II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.030.06987%0.142-0.04540%-0.03
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.020.00050%0.0200.00250%-0.01
A.J. Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,0.06,0.04,0.010.010.050.040.081055%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.010100%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Jaden Hardy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03643%0.002-0.03250%-0.01
Dexter Dennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00631%-0.0400.00475%-0.00
Luka Doncic0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.1-0.100.04-0.130.012262%0.207-0.291464%-0.02
Seth Curry0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.13-0.001540%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.52.429.514.529.42.431.4142.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +18.9%
OKC +2.4%
OKC +9.8%
OKC +16.2%
OKC +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDALNBAOKCDALNBA
this game13.514.214.5122.3114.3113.9
season13.914.3117.1115.6
opponent14.614.7113.6109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.211.114.015.113.5
DAL12.615.114.214.914.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chet Holmgren66690.62-0.120.740.5333013.214.2-1.0013.914.6-0.73
Jalen Williams62660.53-0.030.560.59-28-1013.913.00.8714.314.00.26
Jaylin Williams31290.370.130.25-0.1016-102613.413.6-0.1515.113.81.35
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander81840.370.130.240.148-21013.314.4-1.0714.313.70.56
Isaiah Joe54530.360.140.210.0610-41413.014.1-1.0614.713.71.01
Davis Bertans25250.270.230.04-0.2016-102612.613.8-1.1714.414.10.31
Aaron Wiggins23240.150.35-0.200.1506-613.813.40.3912.614.6-1.99
Josh Giddey37380.090.41-0.310.0615-412.714.0-1.2813.914.3-0.38
Luguentz Dort68720.090.41-0.320.35-915-2414.212.12.1413.914.7-0.78
Cason Wallace4241-0.090.59-0.68-0.0906-613.713.40.2814.414.00.41
Kenrich Williams2624-0.270.77-1.030.12-1319-3215.113.02.0813.914.2-0.32

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Powell99-0.09-0.410.330.18-93-1212.714.3-1.6412.413.6-1.18
Derrick Jones Jr.7170-0.14-0.360.21-0.11-1-5413.914.7-0.8014.112.41.71
Grant Williams5959-0.17-0.330.170.04-71-814.114.3-0.1813.114.0-0.91
Richaun Holmes1111-0.20-0.300.110.07-93-1213.314.3-0.9912.813.6-0.79
Seth Curry7876-0.20-0.300.10-0.6114-203414.612.81.8613.713.10.56
A.J. Lawson3940-0.21-0.290.08-0.479-152414.813.81.0913.213.7-0.49
Dereck Lively II8583-0.22-0.280.07-0.5712-183014.413.01.4413.712.61.08
Dexter Dennis76-0.24-0.260.020.08-115-1613.914.2-0.3310.813.7-2.86
Jaden Hardy3333-0.26-0.24-0.020.24-1711-2814.114.2-0.1512.514.0-1.44
Olivier-Maxence Prosper3129-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.15-4-2-213.614.4-0.7814.313.21.09
Luka Doncic10299-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-71-814.020.3-6.3513.610.72.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.14,0.35,0.6,0.81,0.57,0.91,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 114, DEN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,087.5%
CHI 92, IND 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.31,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.15,087.3%
SAS 99, DET 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.42,086.9%