NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	7.7 [325]		MVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): +25.9%
Toronto Raptors	112		Comeback	1.2 [485]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -16.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	12	73%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	4	71%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Keita Bates-Diop	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	30	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Yuta Watanabe	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	8%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	12	29%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.15	0.01	15	61%	0.26	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.01	10	62%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	9	85%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	21	49%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	32.3	14.7	27.1	2.4	29.6	132.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.2%

PHX -1.9%

PHX -0.5%

TOR +1.7%

TOR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	14.2	14.5	109.4	115.5	113.9
season	14.6	14.0		116.1	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.4		117.6	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.8	13.4	18.0	15.1	15.7
TOR	14.5	12.8	14.7	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Goodwin	43	44	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-10	13	17.4	14.3	3.12	14.5	13.8	0.67
Yuta Watanabe	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-11	15	15.8	15.7	0.10	14.3	14.1	0.16
Josh Okogie	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-8	9	15.7	15.7	-0.03	15.2	13.2	2.02
Jusuf Nurkic	59	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-9	11	15.3	16.3	-0.98	14.7	13.2	1.56
Kevin Durant	71	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-6	5	15.5	16.4	-0.95	14.6	13.0	1.58
Chimezie Metu	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	16.1	15.5	0.64	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Keita Bates-Diop	26	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	0	-7	16.1	15.6	0.52	12.8	14.7	-1.87
Drew Eubanks	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	2	-11	16.3	15.3	0.98	13.2	14.7	-1.56
Eric Gordon	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	2	-11	14.8	18.2	-3.42	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Devin Booker	65	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.34	-15	8	-23	15.4	16.2	-0.78	13.7	15.2	-1.49

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	78	76	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-7	21	13.9	15.3	-1.38	15.8	15.4	0.31
Pascal Siakam	72	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-2	11	14.7	12.6	2.15	16.0	15.0	0.97
Malachi Flynn	28	26	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-2	11	13.9	14.3	-0.42	18.0	14.8	3.16
Precious Achiuwa	39	36	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	1	5	13.4	14.6	-1.20	16.2	15.4	0.88
Gary Trent Jr.	49	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	7	-7	14.3	14.0	0.26	16.3	15.0	1.28
OG Anunoby	68	69	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	6	-5	14.2	14.1	0.02	15.1	17.3	-2.28
Jakob Poeltl	58	60	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	6	-5	14.6	13.4	1.20	15.4	16.2	-0.88
Dennis Schroder	69	70	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	9	-11	14.3	13.9	0.42	14.8	18.0	-3.16
Chris Boucher	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	13.4	14.2	-0.78	11.9	16.0	-4.14
Jalen McDaniels	17	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	12.9	14.4	-1.47	16.6	15.5	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.83,0.93,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, NOP 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.2%
PHI 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,1	93.0%
NJN 89, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.73,1	92.9%