NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	6.7 [496]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +45.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	6.3 [221]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -16.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.46	0.10	0.37	0.01	22	61%	0.50	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.00	10	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.01	0.07	-0.07	-0.01	26	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Dante Exum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jaden Hardy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	9	33%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	10	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	14	55%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.24,-0.16	-0.16	0.06	-0.18	0.04	19	58%	0.20	3	-0.36	7	57%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	25.5	14.8	23.3	2.4	39.4	132.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +7.7%

DAL +7.5%

LAL -17.4%

DAL +49.5%

DAL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.5	108.3	105.2	113.9
season	14.3	14.1		115.6	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.6		114.3	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	14.5	14.3	18.8	15.1
LAL	15.8	15.5	13.4	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-11	25	14.6	16.7	-2.09	14.7	15.4	-0.72
Tim Hardaway Jr.	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-8	19	14.1	16.8	-2.68	15.0	14.6	0.42
Richaun Holmes	44	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	0	3	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.3	14.5	0.88
Josh Green	43	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.02	10	-7	17	13.7	16.3	-2.60	15.2	14.5	0.72
Luka Doncic	77	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.57	-11	14	-25	16.1	11.1	5.09	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Grant Williams	63	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.43	-7	10	-17	16.2	13.0	3.21	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Dante Exum	19	20	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-4	11	11.9	15.9	-4.04	15.4	14.7	0.68
Dereck Lively II	40	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	2	-1	15.4	14.9	0.45	15.5	14.5	1.06
Derrick Jones Jr.	38	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.31	-10	13	-23	16.7	14.1	2.65	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Seth Curry	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	0.0	15.1	-15.14	2.0	15.0	-13.00
Jaden Hardy	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	5	-7	16.2	15.0	1.26	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Dwight Powell	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	6	-9	14.1	15.3	-1.20	12.4	15.3	-2.87

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaxson Hayes	20	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-10	17	16.3	14.5	1.81	17.7	14.4	3.30
Taurean Prince	72	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.62	15	-18	33	14.7	15.3	-0.62	16.0	12.5	3.49
D'Angelo Russell	49	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-4	5	15.1	14.6	0.57	14.9	15.4	-0.41
Rui Hachimura	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	5	-13	15.4	14.2	1.26	14.9	15.4	-0.41
Christian Wood	31	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	12	-27	14.6	15.0	-0.32	13.1	16.1	-2.96
LeBron James	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.52	7	-10	17	14.6	15.5	-0.90	15.7	13.5	2.18
Anthony Davis	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-3	3	14.3	16.6	-2.24	15.4	14.2	1.21
Max Christie	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	16	-35	15.0	14.8	0.19	13.3	17.0	-3.74
Austin Reaves	63	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.8	15.0	-0.16	15.1	15.2	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.14,0.15,0.33,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.16,0.45,0.58,0	92.1%
TOR 81, NJN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0	91.7%
POR 102, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.04,0.27,0	90.7%