NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	6.2 [589]		MVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): +38.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	5.7 [169]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -9.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.23	-0.01	0.26	0.02	9	67%	0.36	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	14	64%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.06
Sam Cassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.08	-0.07	15	56%	0.11	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07	0.07	-0.12	0.01	14	61%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	7	81%	0.39	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	7	61%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.05
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Lynn Greer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	16	59%	0.03	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.09	-0.10	0.09	15	66%	-0.03	4	-0.07	11	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.7	36.0	15.8	27.7	1.6	42.4	154.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.7%

MIL -12.2%

LAC +7.6%

LAC +6.3%

LAC +26.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	17.2	14.4	15.4	114.3	113.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		103.3	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	15.6	17.7	21.0	17.2
MIL	14.8	15.7	14.3	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Hart	60	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-10	21	16.3	19.1	-2.81	14.3	14.7	-0.41
James Singleton	21	23	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	-1	3	14.9	17.9	-3.04	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Corey Maggette	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.51	-6	7	-13	17.6	16.3	1.34	14.2	14.9	-0.65
Elton Brand	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-8	17	17.1	18.0	-0.85	14.7	12.4	2.32
Quinton Ross	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	4	-7	17.8	15.9	1.87	14.6	13.9	0.68
Cuttino Mobley	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.50	-7	8	-15	17.4	16.3	1.09	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Sam Cassell	12	12	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-6	13	15.7	17.5	-1.81	17.1	14.0	3.08
Chris Kaman	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-2	5	16.7	17.9	-1.23	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Daniel Ewing	28	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	12	-23	20.3	15.9	4.45	13.6	14.7	-1.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Noel	25	26	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-3	5	14.1	14.5	-0.45	16.9	17.4	-0.45
Lynn Greer	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-5	9	12.8	15.1	-2.32	19.5	16.3	3.18
Jared Reiner	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	6	-13	14.7	14.3	0.36	16.8	17.5	-0.66
Ersan Ilyasova	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	6	-13	16.3	13.9	2.49	15.6	17.7	-2.10
Charlie Bell	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-5	9	13.9	15.2	-1.29	18.3	15.8	2.54
Ruben Patterson	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.54	6	-7	13	14.3	14.9	-0.65	17.5	16.5	1.04
Michael Redd	77	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-1	1	14.5	14.1	0.40	17.1	17.9	-0.84
Mo Williams	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	5	-11	14.9	12.5	2.38	16.3	20.6	-4.28
Brian Skinner	83	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.4	14.0	0.45	17.2	17.7	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.16,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.27,0	91.3%
ATL 98, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.13,0	91.2%
TOR 81, NJN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0	91.1%