inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 125 Excitement7.8 [320] MVPKyrie Irving (DAL): +40.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 132 Comeback11.8 [147] LVPDerrick Jones Jr. (DAL): -20.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0.410,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.41,0.410.200.20-0.022963%0.462-0.064100%0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.10.070.00-0.031459%0.131-0.031100%0.00
Grant Williams0.080,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.080.070.010.001164%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Powell0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.00260%0.0500.001100%0.01
Luka Doncic0.040,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.040.14-0.090.022662%0.113-0.07425%-0.10
Dante Exum0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Seth Curry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dereck Lively II-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00475%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.15-0.06-0.0170%-0.152-0.0600%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.210.120.032670%0.363-0.07560%-0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.110.14-0.001859%0.281-0.021090%0.07
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.2,0.170.170.060.10-0.011267%0.232-0.0600%0.00
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.03-0.005110%0.1500.0000%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00857%0.1000.005100%0.04
AJ Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.020.00580%0.0900.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001055%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.01939%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.824.014.827.31.733.3127.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +25.1%
MIL +19.1%
DAL -7.3%
MIL +14.3%
DAL -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMILNBADALMILNBA
this game12.814.614.5117.9126.9113.9
season14.314.3115.6117.0
opponent14.314.6114.8113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.915.310.513.112.8
MIL13.314.717.113.614.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dante Exum24240.13-0.630.75-0.025-121712.113.0-0.9215.514.31.22
Kyrie Irving74730.02-0.520.54-0.3613-203312.513.6-1.1214.415.0-0.61
Derrick Jones Jr.4644-0.06-0.440.39-0.060-7711.813.6-1.8314.414.7-0.34
Grant Williams8379-0.08-0.420.33-0.328-152313.012.10.9614.813.90.90
Dereck Lively II5753-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-6512.812.9-0.1814.115.1-0.97
Seth Curry1919-0.22-0.280.070.08-103-1314.712.42.2514.914.50.42
Tim Hardaway Jr.5657-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.320-7712.912.80.0414.814.30.48
Dwight Powell4850-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.17-6-1-513.212.60.6015.014.30.72
Josh Green4343-0.630.13-0.770.16-2720-4713.712.31.4014.314.8-0.44
Luka Doncic8078-0.840.34-1.17-0.34-1710-2712.713.2-0.5214.415.3-0.99

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Connaughton74760.81-0.311.130.1722-153714.415.0-0.5512.912.60.38
Brook Lopez75760.67-0.170.830.438-1914.415.2-0.8312.413.9-1.53
Malik Beasley75770.54-0.040.580.3952314.115.9-1.7912.613.4-0.84
Damian Lillard82850.220.28-0.070.39-613-1914.415.3-0.9012.414.7-2.28
Cameron Payne37350.170.33-0.15-0.1210-31315.913.91.9513.112.70.45
AJ Green23230.160.34-0.18-0.0470714.714.60.1215.612.13.54
Giannis Antetokounmpo81830.130.37-0.240.34-714-2114.813.90.8912.812.9-0.04
Bobby Portis46470.060.44-0.39-0.1570715.214.20.9813.412.40.98
Andre Jackson Jr.2728-0.260.76-1.010.07-1118-2914.314.7-0.3712.213.1-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.53,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 92, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.99,190.9%
SAC 113, DAL 1220.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.75,0.71,0.91,0.98,189.9%
PHX 103, WAS 1080.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.33,0.61,0.92,0.97,0.99,189.6%