NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	122		Excitement	4.8 [829]		MVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): +24.1%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	1.0 [1116]		LVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): -22.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.27	0.04	0.07	12	104%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.02	21	70%	0.22	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	17	51%	0.08	4	-0.03	7	43%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.03	0.03	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.02	0.03	15	85%	0.23	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.20	0.00	0.09	22	74%	0.18	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	12	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.23	-0.02	-0.03	10	15%	-0.11	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	26.6	14.4	22.8	1.8	28.3	121.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.0%

NYK +4.2%

NYK +17.1%

NYK +5.7%

NYK +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	13.4	14.5	125.8	112.5	113.9
season	15.6	14.8		116.8	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.4		118.7	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	16.7	19.0	16.0	16.4
CHA	14.3	12.8	13.1	13.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	17.0	14.2	2.76	13.0	14.8	-1.82
RJ Barrett	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-2	18	16.6	16.3	0.33	14.3	12.4	1.94
Donte DiVincenzo	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	3	8	17.3	15.1	2.24	12.3	15.0	-2.63
Julius Randle	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	5	4	16.7	15.5	1.23	12.8	15.7	-2.92
Mitchell Robinson	67	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	5	4	17.1	15.0	2.09	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Josh Hart	58	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	7	0	15.4	18.0	-2.65	13.6	13.1	0.43
Isaiah Hartenstein	30	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	9	-4	15.0	17.1	-2.09	14.4	13.0	1.37
Immanuel Quickley	47	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	15	-16	16.0	16.8	-0.78	14.5	12.4	2.10
Miles McBride	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	15	-16	14.2	17.0	-2.76	14.8	13.0	1.82

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce McGowens	31	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-18	22	14.9	12.7	2.24	14.9	17.2	-2.29
Ish Smith	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-14	14	15.0	12.5	2.55	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Mark Williams	59	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-13	12	12.9	14.1	-1.18	17.9	14.2	3.63
Miles Bridges	63	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-16	18	13.1	13.8	-0.71	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Brandon Miller	66	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-7	0	12.9	14.5	-1.67	17.4	14.1	3.23
JT Thor	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	16.0	12.6	3.39	14.1	17.1	-3.00
LaMelo Ball	73	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	2	-18	12.9	14.8	-1.84	16.2	17.2	-1.07
Gordon Hayward	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	4	-22	12.7	14.9	-2.24	17.2	14.9	2.29
P.J. Washington	67	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.18	-25	11	-36	13.3	13.6	-0.24	15.8	18.0	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, POR 80	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
OKC 111, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
ORL 97, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%