NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	4.0 [993]		MVP	Matt Barnes (ORL): +7.2%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.0 [1269]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -11.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	81%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.04	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	14	30%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	5	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	63%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	9	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	15	53%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	21	39%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	25.6	15.7	29.1	2.4	28.6	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +50.3%

NJN -12.8%

ORL +11.8%

ORL +0.4%

ORL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.3	102.1	92.6	106.0
season	15.4	15.9		110.1	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		108.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	16.8	13.2	16.8	14.9
NJN	16.8	15.9	14.5	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	50	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.12	22	-12	34	13.2	16.8	-3.58	15.6	15.5	0.03
Dwight Howard	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-4	18	15.2	13.8	1.33	15.6	15.4	0.23
Rashard Lewis	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-6	22	13.8	17.9	-4.08	15.6	15.4	0.17
Vince Carter	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	14.5	17.4	-2.95	15.2	17.7	-2.53
Jameer Nelson	58	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	14.9	15.0	-0.09	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Jason Williams	37	36	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	6	-2	15.0	14.9	0.09	15.9	15.3	0.62
Mickael Pietrus	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.26	-7	17	-24	16.7	13.6	3.08	15.7	15.4	0.28
Brandon Bass	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	16	-22	17.9	13.8	4.08	15.4	15.6	-0.17
Marcin Gortat	17	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	14	-18	13.8	15.2	-1.33	15.4	15.6	-0.23
JJ Redick	19	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	14	-18	17.5	14.3	3.20	16.8	15.3	1.57

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	53	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-17	24	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.7	13.9	1.74
Kris Humphries	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-7	4	16.0	15.1	0.87	14.8	15.0	-0.17
Keyon Dooling	29	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	16.8	15.0	1.83	15.3	14.7	0.60
Jarvis Hayes	32	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-2	-6	16.5	15.1	1.37	13.6	15.6	-1.98
Chris Douglas-Roberts	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-6	2	14.7	16.7	-1.98	14.9	14.9	0.07
Trenton Hassell	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	3	-16	15.6	15.5	0.05	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Yi Jianlian	65	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-6	2	15.5	15.8	-0.28	14.9	14.9	0.03
Devin Harris	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	15.3	16.9	-1.58	15.2	13.5	1.76
Brook Lopez	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	3	-16	15.4	16.4	-1.02	15.0	14.7	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
POR 92, VAN 73	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIN 98, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%