NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	3.8 [1044]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +9.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	82		Comeback	1.1 [534]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -7.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.01	-0.06	10	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	16	53%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	14	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	3	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	17	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	53%	0.02	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	13	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	16	51%	-0.00	4	-0.08	11	73%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	24.3	15.6	28.5	2.4	27.6	125.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +30.4%

LAC -1.1%

MIN +1.4%

MIN +17.0%

MIN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.7	111.4	93.2	100.5
season	15.6	15.5		103.2	101.3
opponent	15.4	16.1		106.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	16.3	15.8	17.8	16.1
LAC	16.6	16.5	16.2	17.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	2	12	16.1	16.1	0.03	17.4	15.9	1.54
Latrell Sprewell	60	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	3	10	16.0	16.2	-0.22	16.3	17.2	-0.87
Troy Hudson	38	39	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	5	6	16.3	15.9	0.42	17.0	16.3	0.63
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	6	4	16.1	16.1	-0.00	16.8	15.9	0.93
Fred Hoiberg	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	7	2	16.9	15.2	1.65	16.8	16.5	0.28
Trenton Hassell	39	39	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	5	6	14.6	17.3	-2.76	17.0	16.3	0.72
Ervin Johnson	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	11	-6	15.9	16.2	-0.27	16.2	17.0	-0.85
Sam Cassell	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	11	-6	15.9	16.3	-0.42	16.3	17.0	-0.63
Wally Szczerbiak	33	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	13	-10	17.2	15.4	1.78	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Michael Olowokandi	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	17	-18	16.0	16.2	-0.20	15.6	17.0	-1.38

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-10	4	16.6	16.6	-0.05	15.3	16.2	-0.95
Doug Overton	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-11	6	16.3	16.9	-0.67	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Keyon Dooling	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-9	2	15.4	16.8	-1.32	17.2	16.0	1.26
Bobby Simmons	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-13	10	17.2	16.0	1.13	16.8	15.3	1.47
Melvin Ely	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-4	-8	17.2	16.4	0.81	16.3	16.0	0.32
Chris Kaman	61	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-17	18	17.1	15.4	1.70	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Eddie House	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-2	-12	16.6	16.7	-0.07	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Corey Maggette	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-8	0	16.9	16.1	0.83	15.3	17.8	-2.47
Matt Barnes	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	-1	-14	16.3	17.4	-1.08	16.6	14.9	1.67
Elton Brand	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-5	-6	16.1	19.4	-3.35	16.1	15.9	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 116, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
PHI 120, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
BOS 101, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%