NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	116		Excitement	9.4 [114]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +38.2%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	6.2 [194]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): -14.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.26,0.26,0.38	0.07	0.33	0.02	19	60%	0.45	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.27	0.10	0.17	-0.01	11	71%	0.34	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Julius Randle	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	24	58%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	9	58%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	50%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	8	37%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.06	0.01	15	74%	0.30	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.2,0.21	0.21	-0.05	0.25	-0.01	12	45%	0.29	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	10	80%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.02	9	100%	0.21	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.12,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	12	48%	0.16	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	24.1	14.6	26.0	2.0	44.2	136.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.3%

ATL -20.8%

NYK +45.4%

ATL -8.9%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.9	13.0	14.5	120.8	117.5	113.9
season	15.6	14.2		116.8	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.4		118.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.1	16.3	15.5	18.7	16.9
ATL	16.4	13.2	13.3	9.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	75	74	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-10	22	17.2	15.7	1.51	13.5	11.3	2.13
Josh Hart	67	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-5	12	16.7	17.4	-0.69	13.0	12.8	0.26
Jalen Brunson	81	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-6	14	17.2	15.4	1.77	13.2	11.7	1.46
Mitchell Robinson	58	58	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-6	14	17.7	15.6	2.14	13.5	12.2	1.23
Immanuel Quickley	59	58	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.64	-12	14	-26	17.4	16.1	1.37	12.1	14.2	-2.11
Quentin Grimes	57	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	0	2	16.5	17.5	-1.00	13.5	12.3	1.18
Miles McBride	1	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	14.0	16.9	-2.93	11.5	13.0	-1.50
Isaiah Hartenstein	37	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	7	-12	15.9	17.5	-1.55	12.5	13.3	-0.73
Donte DiVincenzo	45	48	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	10	-18	15.7	17.9	-2.19	11.9	14.0	-2.04

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	58	59	0.72	-1.22	1.93	0.13	20	-22	42	12.4	13.8	-1.42	17.0	16.8	0.23
Onyeka Okongwu	45	44	0.64	-1.14	1.77	0.11	18	-20	38	12.1	13.7	-1.56	17.2	16.6	0.61
Bogdan Bogdanovic	60	61	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.01	11	-13	24	12.3	14.0	-1.62	16.7	17.2	-0.43
Wesley Matthews	19	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	12.6	13.1	-0.42	16.8	16.9	-0.06
Trae Young	74	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-3	4	12.8	13.5	-0.67	16.1	18.9	-2.78
De'Andre Hunter	51	51	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.45	-12	10	-22	13.7	12.1	1.60	17.8	15.8	2.02
Jalen Johnson	66	61	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.43	-13	11	-24	12.9	13.0	-0.09	16.2	18.0	-1.78
Dejounte Murray	61	63	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.42	-16	14	-30	13.6	11.9	1.76	17.5	15.8	1.64
Clint Capela	51	51	-1.15	0.65	-1.80	-0.54	-21	19	-40	13.9	11.9	2.05	16.9	16.9	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.67,0.63,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.26,0	90.7%
NYK 96, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.42,0	90.1%
SAS 89, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	90.0%