NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	7.6 [348]		MVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): +31.9%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	9.6 [102]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -20.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.32	0.15	0.20	0.03	16	69%	0.40	2	-0.08	10	80%	0.03
Toumani Camara	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Deandre Ayton	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	13	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	16	57%	0.12	4	-0.11	10	80%	-0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Skylar Mays	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.02	7	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Umude	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	5	-0.18	5	80%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	0.00	27	53%	-0.01	6	-0.19	3	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	24.3	14.5	25.4	2.4	33.6	128.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +7.1%

POR +23.7%

POR +9.5%

POR +7.2%

POR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	14.5	104.8	95.3	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		106.9	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		117.6	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.0	15.2	12.2	14.3	13.7
DET	12.7	13.1	15.9	12.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	83	82	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-6	21	13.8	13.0	0.80	13.6	13.8	-0.27
Shaedon Sharpe	90	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	6	-3	14.2	10.8	3.36	14.0	11.5	2.51
Deandre Ayton	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	4	1	14.3	12.1	2.24	13.2	14.7	-1.52
Malcolm Brogdon	57	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-8	25	11.7	16.0	-4.32	14.2	12.8	1.45
Toumani Camara	56	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	3	3	13.4	14.0	-0.68	14.1	13.1	0.95
Skylar Mays	18	18	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	0	9	14.7	13.5	1.26	12.2	13.9	-1.69
Robert Williams III	43	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	-1	11	12.2	14.7	-2.52	13.8	13.5	0.33
Matisse Thybulle	37	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.04	-3	12	-15	14.6	13.2	1.38	13.6	13.6	0.04
Jabari Walker	22	24	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.08	-6	15	-21	13.0	13.8	-0.80	13.8	13.6	0.27
Scoot Henderson	45	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	20	-31	14.8	12.8	1.97	12.6	14.3	-1.75

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	73	73	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-17	25	13.8	13.2	0.68	14.0	12.8	1.20
Killian Hayes	57	57	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-15	21	13.9	13.3	0.66	14.0	13.3	0.75
Marcus Sasser	53	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-10	11	13.4	13.8	-0.38	13.4	13.9	-0.50
Stanley Umude	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-1	-7	13.0	13.9	-0.89	12.9	13.9	-1.01
Jaden Ivey	51	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	5	-19	13.5	13.8	-0.33	12.0	15.1	-3.01
Isaiah Stewart	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-12	15	13.6	13.7	-0.05	14.7	11.4	3.22
James Wiseman	15	14	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	6	-21	14.7	13.4	1.29	9.3	14.4	-5.07
Cade Cunningham	81	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	13.2	15.1	-1.91	14.2	11.9	2.33
Joe Harris	38	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	1	-11	13.9	13.4	0.51	12.7	14.2	-1.41
Ausar Thompson	63	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	0	-9	13.8	13.3	0.50	14.4	12.6	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,0	91.9%
PHX 98, DEN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.74,0.65,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.16,0.02,0,0	91.8%
PHI 90, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.22,0.16,0	91.7%