inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement5.6 [674] MVPNaz Reid (MIN): +36.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 106 Comeback2.0 [925] LVPDuncan Robinson (MIA): -12.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jovic0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.01667%0.0900.0000%0.00
Tyler Herro0.070,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.02-0.032346%0.0700.002100%0.02
Jamal Cain0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00850%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cole Swider0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Orlando Robinson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
R.J. Hampton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01487%0.103-0.1000%0.00
Thomas Bryant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.021-0.03250%-0.02
Dru Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.000.04462%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.050,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.021450%0.024-0.071050%-0.06
Kyle Lowry-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.05-0.06625%-0.014-0.1000%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.06-0.001233%-0.101-0.0200%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.360.240.11-0.011486%0.3600.001100%0.01
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.01-0.02978%0.102-0.0100%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.00686%0.152-0.062100%0.02
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.10-0.000.041070%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.001246%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Leonard Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Minott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.01-0.04831%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Shake Milton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00422%-0.022-0.0510%-0.01
Anthony Edwards0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.05-0.040.091559%-0.022-0.062100%0.01
Troy Brown Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.426.214.627.62.331.3126.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +44.9%
MIN +6.9%
MIA -2.6%
MIN +1.6%
MIA -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMINNBAMIAMINNBA
this game14.414.714.592.8105.0113.9
season14.914.9112.3114.4
opponent14.714.8108.3111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.414.614.914.814.4
MIN14.314.215.115.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.36390.15-0.650.79-0.005-212613.315.0-1.7016.513.52.98
Nikola Jovic42450.11-0.610.72-0.076-222813.015.5-2.4716.213.52.74
Cole Swider450.00-0.500.50-0.217-233010.014.6-4.5915.014.70.33
Orlando Robinson880.00-0.500.50-0.062-182013.214.5-1.2612.714.8-2.10
R.J. Hampton450.00-0.500.50-0.217-233010.014.6-4.5915.014.70.33
Bam Adebayo6365-0.17-0.330.160.12-10-6-414.713.90.7115.912.43.52
Kyle Lowry6464-0.26-0.24-0.030.32-204-2415.113.02.0815.014.10.91
Thomas Bryant2628-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.10-8-8014.214.5-0.3412.315.6-3.27
Tyler Herro7983-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-160-1614.314.8-0.5315.212.42.79
Dru Smith4850-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-12-4-814.414.40.0313.216.2-2.98
Duncan Robinson5960-0.530.03-0.550.00-182-2015.213.21.9613.516.3-2.79
Jamal Cain5253-0.650.15-0.790.03-237-3015.313.32.0413.516.0-2.47

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naz Reid60580.65-0.150.81-0.2330-144413.316.8-3.4915.412.92.52
Mike Conley62600.390.110.28-0.2321-52615.114.10.9914.414.4-0.05
Anthony Edwards68660.370.130.23-0.2521-52614.814.50.2915.112.92.20
Kyle Anderson47450.280.220.060.0779-214.015.3-1.2815.013.91.12
Rudy Gobert67630.220.28-0.06-0.191421215.113.81.3814.015.2-1.19
Karl-Anthony Towns63610.210.29-0.080.04610-415.513.42.0714.713.90.73
Shake Milton38370.160.34-0.180.28-420-2413.215.6-2.3613.514.9-1.44
Troy Brown Jr.33310.130.37-0.240.28-521-2614.514.8-0.2912.915.1-2.20
Nickeil Alexander-Walker48450.070.43-0.35-0.1688015.713.81.9114.214.6-0.34
Jordan McLaughlin11110.020.48-0.460.14-420-2416.214.51.6814.514.40.16
Leonard Miller440.000.50-0.500.21-723-3015.214.70.5910.014.6-4.59
Josh Minott440.000.50-0.500.21-723-3015.214.70.5910.014.6-4.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 85, MIA 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
ORL 105, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,193.8%
ATL 90, SAC 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,193.7%