NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	125		Excitement	7.5 [358]		MVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): +28.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	3.1 [546]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -5.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.20	0.08	-0.01	16	76%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.18	-0.02	16	60%	0.31	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Smith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	7	81%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.02
T.J. McConnell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	57%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	14	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	42%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.07	-0.05	20	49%	0.14	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.03
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	22	61%	0.12	2	0.01	10	80%	-0.03
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emoni Bates	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.09	-0.04	28	48%	-0.00	2	-0.04	9	33%	-0.09
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	29.4	14.8	26.4	2.2	28.7	129.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.6%

IND +20.2%

CLE -6.9%

CLE -14.5%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	13.6	15.6	14.5	126.3	115.3	113.9
season	13.8	14.8		120.0	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		111.3	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	11.8	14.0	16.2	13.6
CLE	15.3	16.5	13.7	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	51	51	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.04	21	-9	30	13.1	14.2	-1.15	15.9	15.3	0.64
Aaron Nesmith	60	60	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-6	24	14.1	12.9	1.23	15.7	15.6	0.13
T.J. McConnell	40	40	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-9	30	12.7	14.2	-1.50	16.1	15.3	0.79
Jalen Smith	39	39	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-5	22	12.9	14.0	-1.10	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Tyrese Haliburton	65	64	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	13	-14	13.5	13.9	-0.45	15.7	15.4	0.34
Buddy Hield	40	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	7	-2	12.9	14.1	-1.12	15.7	15.6	0.14
Bruce Brown	63	64	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	11	-10	15.4	10.4	5.03	15.3	16.2	-0.83
Myles Turner	60	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	17	-22	14.0	12.9	1.10	16.0	15.0	1.01
Obi Toppin	39	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	18	-24	12.9	14.1	-1.23	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Bennedict Mathurin	38	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	23	-34	13.2	13.9	-0.62	14.9	16.1	-1.18

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Jones	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-11	10	19.3	15.2	4.08	15.2	13.4	1.76
Sam Merrill	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-14	16	13.2	16.0	-2.86	12.7	13.8	-1.06
Tristan Thompson	18	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-13	14	15.8	15.6	0.18	14.8	13.4	1.39
Dean Wade	75	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-15	18	15.5	16.1	-0.59	13.9	12.8	1.03
Isaac Okoro	70	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-10	8	16.0	14.8	1.14	13.9	13.0	0.91
Craig Porter	8	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-2	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.42	12.0	13.8	-1.78
Caris LeVert	90	90	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-10	8	15.7	15.2	0.42	13.8	12.0	1.78
Emoni Bates	15	15	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	3	-18	15.5	15.7	-0.12	10.7	14.1	-3.48
Georges Niang	38	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	4	-20	15.8	15.5	0.21	14.0	13.4	0.62
Max Strus	84	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-7	2	15.7	15.5	0.15	13.8	12.1	1.77
Evan Mobley	69	71	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.11	-15	3	-18	15.3	16.5	-1.21	12.9	15.4	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.31,0.08,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.3%
PHI 107, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	91.9%
LAL 98, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.01,0,0	91.7%