NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	11.3 [37]		MVP	Devin Vassell (SAS): +25.9%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	11.7 [144]		LVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): -33.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.00	13	61%	0.29	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Fred VanVleet	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.01	20	56%	0.22	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	20	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Amen Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Reggie Bullock Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.07,-0.02,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	18	60%	0.22	6	-0.36	6	33%	-0.08
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.09	-0.25	-0.01	16	36%	-0.25	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.14

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.12	-0.01	13	68%	0.29	1	-0.03	11	73%	0.05
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.25	0.25	-0.05	0.29	-0.02	19	46%	0.41	4	-0.16	8	87%	0.08
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	100%	0.22	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	9	64%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	14	67%	0.15	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.00	12	33%	0.05	4	-0.17	3	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	28.4	14.5	22.4	2.5	41.2	2.5	20.3	157.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +16.0%

SAS +45.6%

HOU -18.1%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.5	109.9	113.5	113.9
season	14.2	13.9		113.2	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.6		115.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.9	14.2	15.2	15.5	12.0	14.4
SAS	14.3	14.6	14.1	13.9	14.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	25	25	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-5	6	14.1	14.5	-0.43	15.2	14.0	1.19
Boban Marjanovic	14	14	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-7	10	14.1	14.5	-0.39	17.1	13.8	3.25
Reggie Bullock Jr.	23	23	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	14.9	14.3	0.57	15.1	14.0	1.08
Jae'Sean Tate	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	4	-12	14.6	14.4	0.24	14.4	14.2	0.21
Jeff Green	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-3	2	13.8	14.8	-0.94	15.0	13.8	1.19
Alperen Sengun	87	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	0	-4	14.7	13.5	1.22	13.7	16.4	-2.78
Dillon Brooks	84	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.49	4	-8	12	14.4	14.6	-0.24	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Jalen Green	81	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	14.0	15.4	-1.40	13.9	15.1	-1.15
Jabari Smith Jr.	78	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.46	-6	2	-8	14.5	14.2	0.29	14.0	14.8	-0.87
Fred VanVleet	93	94	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.48	-9	5	-14	14.7	12.8	1.89	14.1	15.2	-1.18

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Jones	68	68	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.44	14	-10	24	13.9	14.7	-0.79	14.6	14.0	0.60
Victor Wembanyama	66	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-5	14	14.1	14.5	-0.43	13.9	15.2	-1.23
Keldon Johnson	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.55	-2	6	-8	14.4	13.9	0.47	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Devin Vassell	86	86	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	2	0	13.8	15.8	-2.02	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Zach Collins	81	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	8	-12	14.3	14.0	0.37	14.8	13.3	1.54
Malaki Branham	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	-3	10	13.9	14.4	-0.50	16.1	13.9	2.19
Cedi Osman	49	47	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.22	9	-5	14	14.1	14.4	-0.27	14.6	14.3	0.31
Doug McDermott	32	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	8	-12	15.6	13.7	1.87	14.3	14.5	-0.14
Charles Bassey	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	7	-10	17.1	13.8	3.25	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Jeremy Sochan	57	58	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.08	-8	12	-20	14.0	14.5	-0.45	14.0	14.9	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.9,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	91.0%
BKN 115, MIN 122	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.1,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.89,0.96,1	90.4%
POR 95, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.71,0.73,1	90.0%