NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	100		Excitement	10.7 [54]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +38.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	83.0 [17]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -31.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22	0.01	0.21	-0.00	11	46%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.13	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	10	75%	0.21	6	-0.21	4	100%	0.05
Tony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	20	53%	0.09	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Sean Marks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	15	49%	0.10	6	-0.27	9	56%	-0.10
Manu Ginobili	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.25,-0.31	-0.12	-0.19	-0.00	16	30%	-0.28	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38	0.38	0.04	0.36	0.02	12	62%	0.44	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.01	37	51%	0.29	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.07
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	18	45%	0.07	4	-0.15	11	73%	-0.05
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	25.2	15.7	25.2	1.7	47.0	1.5	26.3	167.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.0%

PHI +12.9%

SAS -17.7%

PHI +24.9%

PHI +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.6	94.3	97.2	104.4
season	16.3	15.2		106.0	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		106.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	15.7	15.4	18.8	15.5	14.6	16.1
PHI	14.9	12.3	16.4	12.6	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	52	50	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-3	3	17.2	15.0	2.21	14.4	13.5	0.92
Nick Van Exel	40	39	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.17	-2	-1	-1	13.9	17.4	-3.52	14.3	13.7	0.55
Sean Marks	3	2	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-1	-1	6.3	16.3	-10.02	13.0	14.0	-0.95
Brent Barry	0	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-2	1	0.0	16.1	-16.07	1.0	14.1	-13.06
Michael Finley	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-2	1	16.0	16.1	-0.04	13.0	15.1	-2.11
Tim Duncan	81	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.55	5	-8	13	16.8	13.8	2.91	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Tony Parker	86	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.58	6	-9	15	16.5	14.1	2.36	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Bruce Bowen	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	8	-19	16.0	16.3	-0.31	14.5	13.0	1.48
Nazr Mohammed	69	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.31	-4	1	-5	16.0	16.2	-0.23	14.4	12.9	1.46
Manu Ginobili	70	71	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.59	-7	4	-11	15.6	16.9	-1.29	13.5	14.9	-1.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	84	83	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	13.5	15.5	-1.92	16.6	14.0	2.64
Allen Iverson	102	101	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-6	15	13.9	14.7	-0.85	16.2	13.0	3.22
Chris Webber	80	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-1	5	13.5	15.4	-1.92	16.2	15.6	0.64
Kyle Korver	36	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	-1	5	13.1	14.4	-1.25	13.2	17.7	-4.45
John Salmons	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-6	15	13.0	15.1	-2.18	15.3	17.0	-1.65
Shavlik Randolph	13	15	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	-4	11	15.8	13.7	2.09	13.8	16.4	-2.64
Samuel Dalembert	72	71	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	11	-19	14.3	13.1	1.29	18.2	11.7	6.54
Steven Hunter	14	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	3	-3	15.4	13.7	1.64	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Michael Bradley	26	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	3	-3	15.4	13.5	1.92	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Kevin Ollie	33	34	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	0.09	-21	24	-45	15.4	13.3	2.16	16.5	15.9	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.32,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	91.8%
MIA 101, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.49,0.35,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.6,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.98,0.85,1	91.2%
MIN 94, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	91.0%