inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 101 Excitement10.3 [57] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +55.5%
Chicago Bulls 105 Comeback15.1 [119] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -31.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.400,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.40.020.380.001160%0.442-0.043100%0.02
Wang Zhi-zhi0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.00669%0.131-0.05425%-0.05
Shandon Anderson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07-0.010.08-0.00540%0.0700.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.02-0.00480%0.061-0.0520%-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.00542%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Malik Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00637%-0.0500.004100%0.02
Udonis Haslem-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.08-0.001054%0.022-0.12425%-0.07
Damon Jones-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.130.00-0.120.011556%-0.053-0.08250%-0.02
Dwyane Wade-0.320,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.26,-0.32-0.14-0.150.022048%-0.047-0.28450%-0.02

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.45,0.36,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.550.550.080.47-0.012160%0.672-0.11683%0.02
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.040.00554%0.051-0.02367%0.00
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00462%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.00941%0.021-0.03450%-0.03
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.040.001253%0.021-0.07667%-0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.08-0.02467%0.072-0.1310%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.01362%0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.001345%-0.041-0.03580%0.02
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.19-0.10-0.051923%-0.192-0.0510%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.82.528.30.325.22.530.60.320.0132.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -13.3%
CHI +25.9%
CHI +34.5%
CHI +7.2%
MIA -4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game14.315.615.595.398.1104.0
season15.715.1107.9100.1
opponent15.415.598.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.413.014.715.413.514.3
CHI15.018.314.715.912.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac38410.15-0.650.80-0.088-122013.714.6-0.9216.914.72.11
Keyon Dooling23230.14-0.640.78-0.015-91414.214.3-0.1617.914.92.95
Shaquille O'Neal540.01-0.510.520.010-4412.814.4-1.5815.015.6-0.57
Wang Zhi-zhi38370.00-0.500.500.09-3-1-214.914.00.9714.416.2-1.83
Udonis Haslem6970-0.04-0.460.42-0.226-101614.014.8-0.7816.513.82.70
Malik Allen4038-0.19-0.310.110.01-73-1014.814.00.8415.515.6-0.08
Shandon Anderson5154-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.451-5614.214.4-0.1715.815.30.57
Dwyane Wade9595-0.590.09-0.69-0.45-51-614.314.6-0.3715.714.71.00
Damon Jones8384-0.640.14-0.78-0.38-95-1414.314.20.1614.917.9-2.95
Eddie Jones8889-0.910.41-1.32-0.44-1612-2814.413.60.8314.520.9-6.42

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon69680.85-0.351.200.4115-112614.517.5-3.0214.514.00.47
Luol Deng81810.83-0.331.160.3616-122814.718.3-3.5914.812.72.12
Ben Gordon51490.72-0.220.950.585-1614.716.3-1.6514.714.00.65
Tyson Chandler61610.370.130.230.43-26-815.016.3-1.2414.314.3-0.02
Eric Piatkowski16170.180.32-0.140.0640415.515.6-0.0613.414.5-1.06
Othella Harrington36360.150.35-0.20-0.119-51416.415.11.2614.314.3-0.04
Kirk Hinrich87860.140.36-0.220.35-711-1816.013.42.6514.015.6-1.60
Andres Nocioni3231-0.140.64-0.770.04-610-1617.014.92.0213.714.5-0.84
Adrian Griffin98-0.160.66-0.82-0.07-37-1019.015.23.7713.614.4-0.73
Eddy Curry5354-0.340.84-1.18-0.14-711-1815.515.6-0.2014.414.20.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.49,0.35,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.6,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.98,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 100, PHI 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,191.2%
PHX 106, SAS 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,190.3%
POR 95, LAL 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.71,0.73,189.5%