NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	115		Excitement	11.4 [33]		MVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): +34.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Comeback	23.9 [52]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): -20.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.07	-0.00	14	68%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.03	9	72%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	79%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Taurean Prince	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.07	-0.01	13	38%	0.13	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Rodions Kurucs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	4	55%	0.07	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.03
Garrett Temple	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.02	-0.03	16	31%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2	-0.00	-0.19	0.01	31	48%	0.09	4	-0.29	13	69%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	-0.01	0.35	-0.00	11	46%	0.40	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Kelan Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	8	56%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.02	8	67%	0.23	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	8	65%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	21	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	16	41%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.16,-0.15,-0.23,-0.27,-0.22,-0.2	-0.20	0.02	-0.21	0.01	18	56%	-0.02	4	-0.17	7	71%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.0	15.4	31.6	2.5	36.7	2.6	14.3	155.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.7%

BKN -2.0%

MIN +23.1%

MIN +16.4%

BKN -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIN	NBA	BKN	MIN	NBA
this game	12.9	13.8	14.2	96.6	102.5	109.6
season	14.1	13.8		108.0	107.1
opponent	13.8	14.1		110.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	11.7	13.3	13.0	13.9	12.6	12.9
MIN	12.8	14.9	13.2	15.5	12.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	58	57	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.29	1	-8	9	11.8	13.9	-2.06	13.5	14.2	-0.70
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	46	45	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.17	3	-10	13	13.3	12.6	0.65	13.3	14.2	-0.92
DeAndre Jordan	58	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-13	19	13.0	12.7	0.30	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Rodions Kurucs	28	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-3	-1	13.7	12.6	1.04	12.8	14.2	-1.38
Joe Harris	91	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-4	1	12.6	13.7	-1.04	14.2	12.8	1.38
Spencer Dinwiddie	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-3	-1	12.9	12.9	-0.08	14.4	12.4	2.00
Jarrett Allen	57	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	3	-13	13.2	12.6	0.56	14.3	13.4	0.82
Garrett Temple	93	94	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	3	-13	12.8	13.2	-0.40	13.5	15.2	-1.72
Taurean Prince	77	78	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.41	-14	7	-21	13.2	12.2	1.00	14.0	13.6	0.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	77	77	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-5	17	14.3	13.0	1.30	13.2	12.2	1.00
Kelan Martin	78	80	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-4	15	13.9	13.8	0.09	13.2	12.2	1.05
Gorgui Dieng	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	3	1	14.4	13.0	1.46	13.3	12.3	0.92
Jarrett Culver	85	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	0	7	13.9	13.7	0.23	13.1	12.3	0.76
Shabazz Napier	76	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	3	1	14.0	13.5	0.48	13.3	12.2	1.15
Jordan Bell	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	7	-7	10.9	14.2	-3.25	11.8	13.0	-1.17
Keita Bates-Diop	64	61	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	7	-7	13.5	14.2	-0.67	12.0	13.8	-1.84
Naz Reid	45	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.24	4	3	1	13.4	14.1	-0.71	12.5	13.1	-0.65
Jeff Teague	45	47	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.17	-1	8	-9	13.6	14.0	-0.42	12.3	13.3	-1.00
Josh Okogie	41	40	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.08	-6	13	-19	13.6	14.0	-0.43	12.4	13.1	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.1,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 119, MIN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.96,1	91.6%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	91.1%
PHI 109, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.99,1	91.0%