NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	126		Excitement	10.0 [75]		MVP	Grant Williams (DAL): +26.8%
San Antonio Spurs	119		Comeback	4.0 [473]		LVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): -19.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Williams	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.18	-0.00	11	74%	0.35	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.23,0.21	-0.02	0.23	-0.01	24	45%	0.27	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Dereck Lively II	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.00	8	84%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Green	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	5	79%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luka Doncic	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	25	58%	0.22	4	-0.09	7	57%	-0.04
Dante Exum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.08	0.01	7	43%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.04	-0.12	0.04	14	53%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.12	0.00	7	89%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Devin Vassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.01	17	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	79%	0.25	5	-0.23	1	0%	-0.05
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.01	15	52%	-0.03	3	-0.16	3	67%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	12	43%	-0.01	3	-0.18	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.7	27.3	16.3	27.4	3.5	33.5	139.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +12.2%

DAL +0.3%

SAS -6.5%

DAL +46.8%

SAS -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	13.2	14.5	117.8	111.2	113.9
season	14.3	13.9		115.6	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.6		115.2	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.2	14.3	12.2	16.7	13.7
SAS	13.5	13.4	12.6	13.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dereck Lively II	69	68	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.39	20	-13	33	13.1	14.9	-1.87	14.1	11.6	2.46
Josh Green	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	3	1	14.3	13.0	1.25	13.9	12.2	1.69
Kyrie Irving	79	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.39	1	6	-5	14.4	12.0	2.35	12.9	14.0	-1.15
Grant Williams	80	79	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	5	-3	14.0	13.1	0.89	12.5	15.1	-2.57
Luka Doncic	78	78	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	3	1	13.4	14.7	-1.26	12.9	13.8	-0.84
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-2	11	13.5	14.1	-0.68	13.5	12.7	0.85
Seth Curry	8	8	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	13.1	13.8	-0.66	15.1	13.0	2.10
Dante Exum	17	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	3	1	12.9	13.9	-1.02	15.4	12.8	2.59
Derrick Jones Jr.	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	8	-9	12.9	14.1	-1.20	11.6	13.8	-2.18
Maxi Kleber	50	52	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.12	-12	19	-31	14.5	13.1	1.35	12.4	13.9	-1.47

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Jones	55	54	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-8	9	13.2	13.2	0.01	13.6	13.9	-0.33
Malaki Branham	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-5	3	13.7	12.9	0.83	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Victor Wembanyama	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-7	7	12.8	13.5	-0.78	14.8	12.8	1.99
Doug McDermott	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	0	-7	14.5	12.8	1.70	14.2	13.6	0.55
Charles Bassey	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	14.1	12.9	1.21	13.1	14.0	-0.85
Devin Vassell	80	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-11	15	12.3	15.7	-3.43	14.3	12.1	2.21
Keldon Johnson	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-7	7	12.9	13.7	-0.82	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Cedi Osman	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	4	-15	13.6	12.8	0.79	13.0	14.4	-1.31
Zach Collins	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	13.0	13.6	-0.69	13.6	14.0	-0.34
Jeremy Sochan	63	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	3	-13	13.6	12.6	1.00	13.5	14.1	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.8,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.16,0	91.5%
NJN 91, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.28,0	90.7%
TOR 92, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.26,0	90.5%