NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	6.6 [499]		MVP	Herbert Jones (NOP): +17.2%
LA Clippers	106		Comeback	2.2 [260]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAC): -11.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Herbert Jones	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.07	-0.04	7	87%	0.25	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	86%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zion Williamson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	25	54%	0.21	5	-0.13	9	67%	-0.04
Jordan Hawkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.00	21	62%	0.18	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Naji Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.02	14	69%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	30	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	17	53%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	85%	0.15	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	36%	-0.02	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	8	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.2	14.6	34.6	1.6	32.9	140.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +24.8%

NOP +12.7%

NOP +17.3%

LAC -5.5%

NOP +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAC	NBA	NOP	LAC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.6	14.5	116.0	103.9	113.9
season	14.4	14.9		114.8	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		114.2	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.1	14.8	13.8	14.0	13.9
LAC	17.5	14.0	15.0	12.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herbert Jones	51	54	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.09	22	-12	34	12.8	15.1	-2.32	15.0	14.1	0.92
Dyson Daniels	72	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-8	26	13.6	14.7	-1.08	15.0	13.3	1.64
Jonas Valanciunas	55	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-5	20	14.2	13.6	0.62	16.3	12.4	3.92
Jordan Hawkins	42	41	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	7	-4	14.3	13.7	0.56	14.8	14.4	0.31
Brandon Ingram	72	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	-3	16	13.8	14.2	-0.38	14.8	13.9	0.93
Zion Williamson	72	73	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	11	-12	14.5	12.6	1.85	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Larry Nance Jr.	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	15	-20	13.6	14.2	-0.62	12.4	16.3	-3.92
Naji Marshall	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	13	-16	14.5	13.2	1.35	14.2	15.0	-0.71
Jose Alvarado	35	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	22	-34	14.0	13.9	0.14	13.0	15.4	-2.40

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Tucker	47	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-17	24	14.4	14.7	-0.23	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Daniel Theis	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-15	20	14.2	14.8	-0.64	14.0	13.9	0.19
Terance Mann	50	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-6	2	14.6	14.6	-0.02	14.8	13.2	1.68
James Harden	77	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	14.5	14.6	-0.09	14.2	13.0	1.18
Ivica Zubac	45	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	8	-26	15.9	13.5	2.44	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Kawhi Leonard	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	5	-20	14.9	13.8	1.09	13.8	14.2	-0.32
Norman Powell	61	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-8	6	13.3	16.5	-3.25	14.1	13.7	0.32
Russell Westbrook	31	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	15.4	14.2	1.18	12.9	14.4	-1.49
Paul George	84	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	14.5	14.9	-0.46	13.9	14.3	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.06,0.05,0	91.5%
SAS 99, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	91.3%
GSW 114, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.3%