inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 99 Excitement6.2 [591] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +12.4%
Golden State Warriors 90 Comeback1.2 [618] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -15.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.040.031364%0.1200.00250%-0.02
Marco Belinelli0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.02-0.00968%0.151-0.04475%-0.00
Tiago Splitter0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.040.011061%0.131-0.03862%-0.00
Tony Parker0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.021656%0.072-0.054100%0.01
Aron Baynes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard-0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.011450%0.012-0.044100%0.02
Austin Daye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.001100%0.053-0.1000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.15-0.02-0.091417%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Patty Mills-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01921%-0.101-0.021100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.022100%0.0400.002100%-0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.03567%0.0300.002100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.01656%0.0200.00475%-0.02
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01739%0.0100.00475%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02462%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.011647%0.033-0.09250%-0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.02629%-0.0700.002100%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.02714%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
David Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.001150%-0.015-0.12475%-0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.090.021357%-0.016-0.159100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.630.015.029.02.830.0134.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +30.2%
SAS +3.1%
SAS +7.8%
SAS +8.0%
SAS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game15.713.615.1101.090.9105.2
season15.014.2109.8105.9
opponent15.315.0102.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.516.414.516.415.7
GSW13.914.913.212.413.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Boris Diaw62630.58-0.080.660.1714-51916.015.10.9214.112.61.53
Patty Mills38390.500.000.500.2110-11115.216.0-0.7915.612.23.31
Danny Green81820.470.030.440.2381715.914.81.1213.713.10.60
Kawhi Leonard69680.400.100.290.0412-31516.214.61.6213.513.7-0.22
Tiago Splitter71710.350.150.200.0990916.214.51.6713.912.81.07
Marco Belinelli58580.180.32-0.140.1518-715.316.2-0.8612.714.7-1.97
Aron Baynes17170.040.46-0.410.07-110-1116.415.60.8013.313.6-0.32
Cory Joseph10100.020.48-0.450.0209-915.515.7-0.2214.313.50.83
Tony Parker60600.000.50-0.500.03-110-1116.015.20.7912.215.6-3.31
Austin Daye910-0.010.51-0.520.05-211-1311.216.1-4.9211.813.8-1.95
Jeff Ayres1517-0.030.53-0.560.12-514-1912.316.3-4.0513.613.50.11

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes5554-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-111313.114.2-1.1316.115.20.93
Marreese Speights1516-0.02-0.480.45-0.113-121510.914.0-3.1715.815.70.14
Draymond Green4645-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-8712.814.2-1.4815.915.50.44
David Lee5655-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-6314.013.00.9416.215.11.07
Klay Thompson7675-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-6313.314.3-0.9816.413.52.84
Jordan Crawford2927-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-6-3-315.312.82.4813.916.4-2.44
Stephen Curry8182-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.16-7-2-513.016.1-3.0615.815.10.75
Andrew Bogut5453-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.17-7-2-514.212.81.4315.715.7-0.03
Steve Blake4646-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.14-112-1313.613.50.1414.916.4-1.43
Jermaine O'Neal3737-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.13-123-1515.012.72.3514.716.3-1.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 102, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,093.9%
GSW 105, POR 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,093.2%
DAL 101, UTA 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,093.1%