inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 101 Excitement5.3 [803] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +21.1%
Utah Jazz 83 Comeback1.3 [654] LVPMatt Harpring (UTA): -10.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.120.06-0.031865%0.241-0.031100%0.01
Devin Harris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.00-0.005100%0.112-0.032100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.03-0.02150%0.0400.002100%0.04
Josh Howard0.020,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.02-0.051351%0.052-0.03933%-0.04
Jason Terry-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01675%0.074-0.0700%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.02744%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Calvin Booth-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.030.012150%0.002-0.051694%0.08
Shawn Bradley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0600%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.01-0.03456%0.051-0.031100%0.01
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00658%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.041240%-0.022-0.046100%0.04
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.01-0.03537%-0.023-0.056100%0.03
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.041542%-0.052-0.02875%0.00
Curtis Borchardt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.040.01669%0.044-0.131100%0.00
Keith McLeod0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.05926%-0.023-0.081100%0.00
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.021043%-0.042-0.058100%0.04
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.04-0.01645%-0.082-0.02887%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.82.532.415.630.22.530.3143.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +65.3%
UTA -17.6%
UTA -13.2%
DAL +12.4%
DAL +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALUTANBADALUTANBA
this game14.016.315.5107.486.5104.0
season14.916.7108.2102.3
opponent15.115.5106.7103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL11.214.414.716.214.0
UTA17.613.916.517.316.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley80810.52-0.020.53-0.011801814.113.60.5416.017.4-1.35
Darrell Armstrong33340.450.050.400.041441014.813.61.2615.116.9-1.81
Devin Harris51530.390.110.280.16810-214.513.41.1315.117.7-2.69
Dirk Nowitzki77800.350.150.19-0.04135813.217.9-4.7716.415.41.06
Josh Howard56560.340.160.18-0.01126613.914.2-0.3417.314.82.50
Shawn Bradley28290.340.160.170.19513-816.812.83.9715.716.5-0.87
Alan Henderson40400.170.33-0.16-0.06810-213.514.4-0.9318.614.64.05
Jason Terry50490.170.33-0.16-0.271531213.314.9-1.6517.614.92.68
Calvin Booth1415-0.010.51-0.53-0.01018-1813.114.2-1.1314.516.6-2.05
Marquis Daniels3436-0.160.66-0.82-0.07-321-2415.113.41.7014.217.5-3.22

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mehmet Okur34330.05-0.550.60-0.2410-283814.417.3-2.9114.813.61.12
Kris Humphries220.00-0.500.500.03-1-171617.016.20.7612.514.1-1.57
Kirk Snyder3232-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-171614.617.1-2.5014.513.80.71
Gordan Giricek2828-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-141016.616.10.5415.413.51.89
Keith McLeod4544-0.18-0.320.150.29-16-2-1418.214.63.6113.514.5-0.91
Curtis Borchardt4442-0.20-0.290.09-0.262-202215.217.2-1.9914.313.80.42
Howard Eisley6261-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-9-9014.619.4-4.7914.513.21.36
Raja Bell6866-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-14-4-1016.116.6-0.5413.515.4-1.89
Andrei Kirilenko6968-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-2-1417.613.04.5914.313.40.89
Matt Harpring6969-0.40-0.10-0.310.12-180-1816.415.80.6713.615.3-1.75
Jarron Collins2725-0.46-0.04-0.430.21-235-2819.215.14.1212.514.6-2.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 92, MIN 880.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.01,093.2%
SAS 99, GSW 900.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,093.1%
PHX 115, NYK 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,092.6%