inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 113 Excitement7.4 [369] MVPObi Toppin (IND): +27.3%
Indiana Pacers 136 Comeback1.7 [907] LVPAndrew Nembhard (IND): -8.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaden Ivey0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.02-0.051661%0.263-0.12967%-0.01
Isaiah Livers0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.01580%0.1000.0000%0.00
Marvin Bagley III0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.07-0.01650%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Ausar Thompson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.00580%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Stewart0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.030.01856%0.0500.002100%0.01
Killian Hayes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.00650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Alec Burks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.00650%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Jalen Duren-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.001054%0.082-0.08475%0.00
Marcus Sasser-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stanley Umude-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Cade Cunningham-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.07-0.002651%0.094-0.159100%0.04

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.150.130.00894%0.2700.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.020.001172%0.1600.003100%0.02
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.010.07-0.031040%0.0900.00580%0.02
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.001258%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.030.052353%0.091-0.033100%0.02
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.000.003100%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Myles Turner0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.051468%0.132-0.076100%0.03
Ben Sheppard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00844%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.040.031348%0.012-0.1010%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.528.515.329.62.428.3134.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +4.5%
IND +10.3%
IND +16.2%
IND +18.0%
IND +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game13.915.214.5114.1137.4113.9
season14.213.8108.4120.0
opponent14.714.3117.4117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.714.514.812.713.9
IND15.115.515.215.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ausar Thompson60640.02-0.520.54-0.156-293514.113.50.6215.115.3-0.22
Marcus Sasser98-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-211916.913.63.3015.515.20.32
Isaiah Livers5252-0.10-0.400.290.34-15-8-713.314.5-1.2216.613.72.90
Marvin Bagley III2929-0.19-0.310.110.04-8-15716.612.83.8613.915.7-1.80
Jalen Duren6060-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-12113.015.3-2.3415.614.60.93
Alec Burks2929-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-8-15712.914.3-1.4015.415.10.25
Killian Hayes3635-0.27-0.23-0.040.46-252-2713.514.1-0.6515.714.90.79
Stanley Umude1817-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-9-512.914.1-1.2214.915.3-0.39
Jaden Ivey6766-0.28-0.22-0.070.16-15-8-713.913.80.1614.915.8-0.97
Cade Cunningham7778-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-11-113.913.90.0315.314.80.50
Isaiah Stewart5857-0.550.05-0.59-0.22-11-12114.313.30.9314.216.6-2.42

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Brown75760.59-0.090.69-0.1726-32915.713.71.9713.913.70.20
Bennedict Mathurin65650.58-0.080.66-0.2127-43114.816.0-1.1713.614.5-0.89
Andrew Nembhard40400.58-0.080.65-0.1625-22715.515.00.5813.813.9-0.11
Myles Turner56580.54-0.040.58-0.132302314.416.2-1.7414.113.60.43
Obi Toppin51520.460.040.420.31518-1314.615.9-1.2714.113.70.44
Isaiah Jackson39380.030.47-0.45-0.12518-1315.515.00.4313.614.1-0.55
Ben Sheppard110.000.50-0.50-0.06221-1917.015.21.825.014.0-8.98
Jalen Smith4442-0.040.54-0.59-0.04023-2316.214.41.7213.614.1-0.51
Tyrese Haliburton6666-0.060.56-0.62-0.32914-515.315.00.2614.113.40.70
Buddy Hield5857-0.170.67-0.850.03-730-3715.015.4-0.4014.213.50.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 92, BKN 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,192.1%
SAS 93, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,192.0%
ORL 83, IND 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,1,191.7%