NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	5.3 [731]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +20.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	1.0 [1150]		LVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): -31.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.05	0.02	22	70%	0.28	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Christian Wood	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.02	9	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.08	10	67%	0.14	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
Taurean Prince	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Maxwell Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	19	41%	0.01	6	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.01	20	55%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Skylar Mays	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	57%	0.07	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	41%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Justin Minaya	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	48%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.32,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.19	-0.10	0.02	17	47%	-0.03	10	-0.28	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	26.9	14.7	30.3	2.0	29.0	128.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.9%

POR -0.8%

POR -7.4%

LAL +5.6%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	14.5	110.3	97.9	113.9
season	14.1	14.8		114.4	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		116.2	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	12.5	14.8	18.1	14.8
POR	15.2	15.2	15.2	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	-6	24	15.0	14.3	0.70	15.3	13.7	1.65
Rui Hachimura	55	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	3	6	14.6	15.0	-0.42	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Austin Reaves	32	33	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	2	8	17.2	13.6	3.68	16.4	14.1	2.33
Taurean Prince	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	2	8	15.1	13.9	1.29	15.2	13.9	1.27
Christian Wood	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	17.4	13.2	4.23	15.5	14.4	1.06
Cam Reddish	67	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	11	-10	13.4	17.9	-4.46	14.2	16.2	-2.01
Anthony Davis	75	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	11	-10	13.9	18.0	-4.10	14.4	16.5	-2.19
Jaxson Hayes	14	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	8	-4	17.2	14.4	2.84	15.6	14.7	0.84
D'Angelo Russell	63	62	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	10	-8	13.5	17.2	-3.73	14.1	16.1	-2.01
Max Christie	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	16.5	14.7	1.75	12.0	14.9	-2.92
Maxwell Lewis	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	16.5	14.7	1.75	12.0	14.9	-2.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaree Bouyea	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	12.0	14.9	-2.92	16.5	14.7	1.75
Justin Minaya	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-10	8	14.2	14.9	-0.66	18.5	14.4	4.05
Kris Murray	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	15.2	14.8	0.38	16.9	14.5	2.36
Jabari Walker	37	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-14	16	14.1	15.3	-1.21	13.4	15.7	-2.30
Duop Reath	18	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-7	2	15.3	14.7	0.59	17.0	14.3	2.69
Skylar Mays	52	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-2	-8	15.7	13.8	1.89	14.8	14.7	0.08
Shaedon Sharpe	79	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-7	2	14.4	17.0	-2.63	14.4	16.4	-1.90
Matisse Thybulle	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	15.2	14.5	0.72	17.0	12.9	4.10
Deandre Ayton	79	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	14.7	15.3	-0.59	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Jerami Grant	81	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	1	-14	15.3	12.7	2.60	14.6	15.6	-0.95
Toumani Camara	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	14.5	16.0	-1.42	14.0	17.7	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, HOU 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
CHA 123, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DET 102, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%