NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	126		Excitement	6.4 [521]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +21.9%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	1.8 [588]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -22.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.06	0.03	20	69%	0.22	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.09	-0.05	13	59%	0.24	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.08
Danuel House Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	8	74%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	19	65%	0.24	4	-0.09	11	100%	0.06
Patrick Beverley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	1	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Covington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Jaden Springer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.07	-0.07	14	58%	0.21	4	-0.06	10	100%	0.07
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	12	64%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.04	9	77%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	11	63%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.10	0.06	16	41%	-0.18	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	2.3	25.6	15.5	32.7	2.5	28.6	138.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.9%

PHI +14.0%

PHI +5.2%

ATL -11.2%

ATL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	13.3	14.5	127.3	117.2	113.9
season	14.9	14.2		115.6	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.5		118.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.5	15.0	15.6	15.4	15.8
ATL	16.0	11.7	14.4	11.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	73	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-6	22	15.9	15.4	0.49	13.8	11.7	2.12
Patrick Beverley	27	28	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-6	22	16.6	15.5	1.11	14.1	13.0	1.07
De'Anthony Melton	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-2	14	15.0	18.2	-3.17	14.1	10.8	3.30
Danuel House Jr.	39	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	0	10	16.7	15.2	1.49	12.2	14.0	-1.78
Jaden Springer	48	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	10	-10	16.8	14.8	1.99	11.4	15.1	-3.78
Tyrese Maxey	85	84	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	9	-8	15.4	18.4	-2.99	13.0	14.7	-1.69
Robert Covington	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	15.1	16.2	-1.10	15.0	12.1	2.85
Marcus Morris Sr.	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	8	-6	23.5	15.5	8.04	17.5	13.1	4.37
Tobias Harris	78	80	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	14	-18	15.6	16.5	-0.93	13.1	13.9	-0.80
Paul Reed	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	16	-22	15.4	15.9	-0.49	11.7	13.8	-2.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	76	75	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.21	12	-22	34	12.4	16.4	-4.02	16.8	12.5	4.29
Jalen Johnson	75	77	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-13	16	12.9	14.5	-1.58	15.7	16.0	-0.21
Clint Capela	57	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-6	2	14.0	12.4	1.56	15.6	16.1	-0.53
De'Andre Hunter	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-2	-6	15.4	12.1	3.23	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Onyeka Okongwu	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	12.4	14.0	-1.56	16.1	15.6	0.53
Wesley Matthews	21	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	13.7	13.2	0.46	17.9	15.3	2.61
Saddiq Bey	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	12.5	14.9	-2.41	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Bogdan Bogdanovic	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	4	-18	13.4	13.2	0.16	15.6	16.0	-0.34
Dejounte Murray	72	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.08	-18	8	-26	14.2	10.8	3.42	14.8	18.5	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
CHI 105, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
HOU 107, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0	92.8%