NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	6.6 [521]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +12.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	1.8 [744]		LVP	Marko Guduric (MEM): -13.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	28	59%	0.23	6	-0.11	18	72%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	11	46%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	17	41%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Clemons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	48%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	8	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.04	16	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	18	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	40%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Marko Guduric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	28.6	14.7	24.3	1.8	39.4	136.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.9%

HOU +0.9%

HOU +11.4%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	13.6	14.4	14.2	102.9	98.0	109.6
season	13.4	13.8		111.2	108.2
opponent	13.9	14.4		109.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.6	13.0	13.3	15.6	13.6
MEM	14.6	14.7	13.9	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	66	61	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	14.3	12.4	1.92	14.0	14.9	-0.91
James Harden	83	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-4	15	13.6	13.7	-0.10	13.7	16.9	-3.16
Danuel House Jr.	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	2	3	13.3	14.3	-1.01	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Tyson Chandler	16	17	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	-5	17	11.9	13.9	-1.95	14.5	14.4	0.11
Austin Rivers	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	13.7	13.5	0.20	14.5	14.3	0.22
Eric Gordon	70	69	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	8	-9	12.9	15.0	-2.10	15.0	13.1	1.86
Thabo Sefolosha	16	15	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	1	5	12.6	13.8	-1.14	14.4	14.4	0.02
Clint Capela	63	61	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	3	1	13.7	13.3	0.40	14.5	14.2	0.35
P.J. Tucker	72	71	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.31	-12	19	-31	14.1	12.5	1.57	14.6	13.8	0.78
Chris Clemons	5	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	12	-17	16.6	13.4	3.17	16.2	14.3	1.90

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Clarke	44	43	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-14	21	15.0	13.9	1.09	13.9	13.4	0.55
Ja Morant	59	60	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.31	12	-19	31	14.1	14.8	-0.75	14.0	13.0	1.02
Dillon Brooks	66	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-15	23	13.5	16.1	-2.59	14.7	11.4	3.25
Jae Crowder	62	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-10	13	14.7	13.9	0.71	13.7	13.4	0.36
Jonas Valanciunas	53	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-5	3	13.2	15.7	-2.52	14.2	12.9	1.28
Bruno Caboclo	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	15.7	13.2	2.52	12.9	14.2	-1.28
Marko Guduric	39	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	6	-19	15.8	13.5	2.29	11.6	14.6	-2.98
Kyle Anderson	52	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	3	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.39	13.3	13.9	-0.66
Tyus Jones	54	58	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	8	-23	14.3	14.5	-0.14	13.5	13.7	-0.23
Solomon Hill	32	34	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	13	-33	14.2	14.5	-0.33	12.7	14.0	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CHI 105, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
DEN 101, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%