NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	8.2 [246]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (DEN): +42.0%
Denver Nuggets	111		Comeback	5.6 [306]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAC): -14.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.12	0.03	26	61%	0.30	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Norman Powell	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.15	0.01	7	74%	0.25	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
James Harden	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	15	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
P.J. Tucker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	41%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Terance Mann	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	14	47%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	12	33%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.38,0.42	0.42	0.09	0.32	-0.01	12	74%	0.52	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	6	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.01	11	64%	0.19	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	82%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	23	53%	0.16	4	-0.16	14	100%	0.13
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Justin Holiday	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	30.3	15.7	31.2	2.8	41.0	149.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.9%

DEN +9.3%

DEN +7.3%

LAC -6.0%

DEN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	14.5	113.7	116.8	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		116.6	116.7
opponent	14.6	14.4		111.6	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	14.8	15.3	17.7	15.5
DEN	15.3	14.6	14.1	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	50	49	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.10	1	-4	5	15.7	15.4	0.28	15.3	14.2	1.07
P.J. Tucker	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	4	-11	17.6	14.0	3.54	15.9	14.0	1.88
Ivica Zubac	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	0	-3	15.9	15.0	0.92	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Norman Powell	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-8	13	14.6	16.5	-1.93	14.9	14.7	0.24
Terance Mann	55	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	15.5	15.6	-0.17	15.3	14.1	1.10
Kawhi Leonard	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-3	3	15.0	17.8	-2.73	14.3	17.2	-2.91
Paul George	80	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	2	-7	15.5	15.4	0.15	14.6	15.9	-1.25
James Harden	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	0	-3	15.2	16.5	-1.36	14.3	16.3	-2.01

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	61	60	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.46	9	-6	15	14.5	15.2	-0.69	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Michael Porter Jr.	69	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-1	5	14.6	15.3	-0.66	15.4	15.9	-0.56
Nikola Jokic	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.50	3	0	3	14.2	16.6	-2.34	15.6	15.3	0.29
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	79	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	0	3	14.5	16.4	-1.91	15.3	16.6	-1.37
Aaron Gordon	79	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.48	2	1	1	14.4	16.9	-2.51	15.3	16.9	-1.62
Peyton Watson	20	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	15.9	14.5	1.47	16.6	15.2	1.40
Justin Holiday	3	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	4	-5	19.7	14.6	5.04	22.7	15.3	7.37
Zeke Nnaji	22	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	3	-3	16.6	14.2	2.34	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Jalen Pickett	31	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	7	-11	14.8	14.8	0.07	16.2	15.2	1.09
Christian Braun	38	39	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.16	-3	6	-9	16.0	14.0	2.06	16.0	15.2	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.18,0.31,0.28,0.44,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.74,1	91.1%
DAL 98, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.78,0.96,1	91.0%
MIA 72, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.3,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.46,0.44,0.91,1	91.0%