inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 98 Excitement7.7 [290] MVPEduardo Najera (DAL): +14.0%
Utah Jazz 107 Comeback9.8 [175] LVPMichael Finley (DAL): -12.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eduardo Najera0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.050.00780%0.1400.0010%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.040.011867%0.154-0.134100%0.03
Steve Nash0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.020.05-0.05-0.021569%0.184-0.156100%0.03
Wang Zhi-zhi-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00835%-0.0200.001100%0.01
Danny Manning-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Adrian Griffin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01540%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01267%0.002-0.062100%0.01
Juwan Howard-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.06-0.00755%-0.0700.00875%-0.02
Michael Finley-0.120,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.04-0.031125%-0.091-0.032100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.080.001760%0.141-0.031675%-0.02
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00575%0.1000.00250%-0.02
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.070.070.030.04-0.001259%0.101-0.035100%0.05
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.011562%0.081-0.034100%0.02
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.040.00859%-0.0300.001182%0.02
Jarron Collins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.00543%-0.011-0.054100%0.02
Quincy Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.00333%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01617%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.41.731.215.627.22.429.6135.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -3.7%
UTA +16.6%
UTA +22.3%
UTA +13.6%
UTA +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALUTANBADALUTANBA
this game14.117.415.6106.5117.6102.3
season14.816.1109.6102.9
opponent15.115.5101.9105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.614.013.915.014.1
UTA20.013.718.917.717.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera42400.69-1.191.880.1917-264313.214.8-1.6015.918.5-2.56
Tim Hardaway47470.43-0.931.350.227-162313.714.5-0.7416.818.0-1.28
Danny Manning13130.10-0.600.71-0.014-13179.814.8-4.9618.217.20.99
Wang Zhi-zhi44-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-5112.714.2-1.4215.017.5-2.49
Shawn Bradley3130-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-5115.213.61.6418.317.01.32
Steve Nash6665-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.26-8-1-714.014.4-0.4417.517.20.27
Dirk Nowitzki8483-0.510.01-0.52-0.28-8-1-714.410.73.6817.417.20.15
Adrian Griffin4243-0.520.02-0.54-0.17-123-1514.613.70.9817.916.90.99
Michael Finley6666-0.910.41-1.32-0.44-167-2314.413.41.0118.015.82.18
Juwan Howard6564-1.050.55-1.60-0.43-2112-3314.413.31.1017.217.7-0.51

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrei Kirilenko59610.85-0.351.190.2321-123315.520.9-5.3814.912.62.26
John Crotty58590.77-0.271.040.1820-113116.319.3-3.0614.713.11.59
Karl Malone80780.73-0.230.960.2616-72317.615.52.0914.313.30.97
Donyell Marshall65660.51-0.010.510.2781717.118.1-0.9714.313.50.85
John Stockton64640.50-0.000.500.2781716.918.6-1.6613.914.6-0.67
Quincy Lewis1214-0.050.55-0.59-0.0509-916.617.5-0.9215.713.81.89
John Amaechi1110-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-110-1118.817.21.6311.214.5-3.26
John Starks1211-0.080.58-0.660.04-413-1716.317.5-1.2113.014.3-1.26
DeShawn Stevenson3636-0.150.65-0.790.03-615-2120.715.25.4313.214.7-1.41
Scott Padgett1920-0.160.66-0.82-0.07-312-1516.317.7-1.3513.514.3-0.78
Jarron Collins3941-0.380.88-1.250.04-1423-3720.315.25.1213.314.7-1.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.78,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 115, CHI 1170.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.77,0.96,192.2%
SAS 104, MEM 1110.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.91,191.4%
BOS 106, SAC 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.18,0.38,0.28,0.78,0.84,190.3%