NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	119		Excitement	8.6 [248]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +28.0%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	6.2 [550]		LVP	Josh Okogie (PHX): -9.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.16	-0.00	22	57%	0.32	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.12	-0.02	6	64%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12	-0.00	0.12	-0.01	21	53%	0.24	4	-0.12	5	60%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	19	52%	0.11	2	-0.09	10	70%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.11	-0.02	21	50%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	13	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	15	41%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	36.8	15.8	27.4	2.3	27.7	135.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.2%

LAC +13.6%

LAC +28.1%

PHX -8.4%

LAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.4	115.5	110.7	113.4
season	14.6	14.5		113.7	114.2
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.4	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	13.9	12.6	14.7	14.0
PHX	14.7	13.8	12.3	15.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	45	48	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	13.9	14.2	-0.28	14.4	13.5	0.83
Russell Westbrook	85	85	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-3	11	14.2	13.5	0.66	14.0	13.6	0.37
Norman Powell	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	13.7	14.7	-1.08	14.2	13.3	0.93
Terance Mann	43	43	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-3	11	12.9	14.9	-1.96	13.9	13.9	-0.09
Kawhi Leonard	78	75	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.37	-7	12	-19	14.5	12.8	1.70	13.9	14.0	-0.17
Bones Hyland	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-1	7	13.5	14.3	-0.83	14.3	13.7	0.68
Robert Covington	11	12	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	0	5	12.5	14.2	-1.78	15.4	13.7	1.70
Nicolas Batum	46	46	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	9	-13	15.2	13.2	1.99	13.1	14.6	-1.49
Eric Gordon	47	47	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	14.4	13.7	0.65	13.3	14.4	-1.05
Ivica Zubac	56	54	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	11	-17	14.2	13.9	0.36	13.7	14.2	-0.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	38	38	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-11	17	13.9	13.9	0.06	14.8	13.6	1.17
Jock Landale	46	46	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-12	19	13.5	14.3	-0.78	14.6	13.6	0.97
Ish Wainright	69	69	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-11	17	13.3	15.1	-1.80	14.4	13.3	1.13
Torrey Craig	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	15.4	13.7	1.70	12.5	14.2	-1.78
Josh Okogie	65	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-9	13	13.6	14.4	-0.76	14.2	13.7	0.51
Terrence Ross	66	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	4	-13	14.4	13.1	1.30	13.6	14.8	-1.15
Saben Lee	96	96	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	4	-13	13.9	14.7	-0.86	13.7	18.1	-4.39
Darius Bazley	57	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.31	-12	7	-19	14.3	13.5	0.78	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Damion Lee	66	64	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.31	-15	10	-25	14.1	13.5	0.62	14.2	13.8	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	91.9%
DET 94, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.7%
MEM 85, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	91.5%