NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	9.1 [174]		MVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): +32.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	6.6 [20]		LVP	Jabari Walker (POR): -18.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.33	0.10	0.22	-0.00	19	57%	0.36	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.04
Kevin Knox II	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.10	-0.01	15	58%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Skylar Mays	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	9	72%	0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeenathan Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	6	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
John Butler Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	11	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Shaquille Harrison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Jabari Walker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	11	23%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,-0.02,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	30	57%	0.34	4	-0.13	5	80%	-0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	3	78%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.04	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.12	0.00	9	72%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	71%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.12	0.01	8	52%	-0.03	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	24.6	15.4	26.5	2.3	38.1	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.1%

MIN -18.6%

POR +4.9%

POR +31.9%

MIN -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.4	108.1	106.1	113.4
season	14.7	14.1		113.4	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.7	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	16.7	13.3	14.1	14.4
MIN	14.2	13.3	14.4	17.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Knox II	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	2	-2	14.3	14.5	-0.19	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Jabari Walker	39	40	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	-3	8	14.5	14.2	0.26	14.7	14.7	0.02
John Butler Jr.	38	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-5	12	14.6	14.2	0.32	13.7	15.4	-1.77
Jeenathan Williams	27	27	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	-3	8	15.3	14.0	1.35	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Shaquille Harrison	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	0	2	14.1	14.5	-0.44	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Skylar Mays	62	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	2	-2	14.5	14.1	0.44	15.1	14.1	1.00
Shaedon Sharpe	72	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	5	-8	14.0	15.3	-1.35	15.0	13.9	1.12
Matisse Thybulle	61	60	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	7	-12	14.2	14.6	-0.32	15.4	13.7	1.77
Drew Eubanks	60	59	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	5	-8	14.2	14.5	-0.26	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Trendon Watford	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	0	2	14.5	14.3	0.19	15.0	14.6	0.47

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	11	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-3	4	13.9	14.8	-0.93	16.4	14.1	2.35
Jordan McLaughlin	22	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-6	10	13.8	15.0	-1.24	15.0	14.2	0.89
Luka Garza	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-2	2	10.8	14.9	-4.15	12.0	14.5	-2.48
Karl-Anthony Towns	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-4	6	14.1	15.4	-1.28	15.1	13.6	1.50
Taurean Prince	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	14.1	15.2	-1.11	14.6	14.2	0.37
Jaden McDaniels	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	1	-4	14.8	14.5	0.32	14.3	14.5	-0.15
Rudy Gobert	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	4	-10	15.7	12.1	3.56	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Kyle Anderson	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	14.5	15.4	-0.91	14.2	14.7	-0.55
Mike Conley	72	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	1	-4	15.2	13.4	1.78	14.4	14.3	0.03
Anthony Edwards	79	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	14.9	13.9	0.99	13.8	16.6	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.57,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.15,0	90.8%
CLE 91, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.52,0.33,0.02,0	90.7%
LAL 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.19,0.45,0.08,0	90.7%