NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	5.0 [889]		MVP	Brandon Ingram (NOP): +19.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	115		Comeback	1.0 [1252]		LVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): -8.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Richards	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	4	82%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	62%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	12	46%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
JT Thor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	75%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	20	42%	-0.04	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.02	23	55%	0.19	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.02	10	67%	0.18	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	19	51%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.05	14	66%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	24.0	14.4	26.4	2.5	27.3	120.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +24.1%

NOP +6.0%

NOP +14.1%

NOP +5.4%

NOP +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	14.4	95.0	111.7	113.4
season	14.0	14.2		107.8	113.4
opponent	14.6	14.3		111.6	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.7	11.9	15.3	14.6	13.8
NOP	11.6	14.7	16.0	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	30	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-15	11	12.8	14.2	-1.41	11.4	15.7	-4.24
Dennis Smith Jr.	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-12	5	13.3	14.3	-0.93	13.3	15.5	-2.13
Svi Mykhailiuk	57	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-13	7	14.6	12.8	1.77	15.9	12.6	3.26
Bryce McGowens	51	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-23	27	13.5	14.1	-0.57	14.8	14.1	0.68
Gordon Hayward	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.28	-17	-2	-15	13.9	13.7	0.20	15.6	12.6	3.04
Terry Rozier	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-6	-7	13.0	14.0	-1.04	11.6	15.3	-3.72
Nick Richards	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	-4	-11	13.7	13.9	-0.18	15.5	12.9	2.55
P.J. Washington	71	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-7	-5	13.9	13.5	0.46	14.6	14.0	0.56
Kai Jones	43	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-15	11	13.9	13.7	0.20	12.7	15.8	-3.03
JT Thor	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	2	-23	14.3	13.2	1.10	15.2	13.6	1.59

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	78	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-1	21	14.9	13.1	1.79	13.9	13.4	0.55
Josh Richardson	44	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	2	15	13.6	15.1	-1.52	14.5	13.3	1.21
Brandon Ingram	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	2	15	14.7	13.9	0.82	14.3	12.7	1.52
Naji Marshall	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.02	10	9	1	14.9	14.1	0.86	14.6	13.2	1.37
Jonas Valanciunas	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	5	9	15.5	12.2	3.31	13.5	14.5	-0.96
Larry Nance Jr.	26	24	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	11	-3	12.8	15.0	-2.13	15.4	13.3	2.08
Herbert Jones	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	7	5	14.9	13.8	1.11	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Trey Murphy III	72	69	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	9	1	15.3	12.3	3.02	13.2	15.0	-1.72
Willy Hernangomez	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	9.2	14.8	-5.60	10.8	14.0	-3.15
Garrett Temple	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	9.2	14.8	-5.60	10.8	14.0	-3.15
Jaxson Hayes	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	9.2	14.8	-5.60	10.8	14.0	-3.15
Kira Lewis Jr.	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	9.2	14.8	-5.60	10.8	14.0	-3.15
Dyson Daniels	25	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	20	-21	13.1	14.9	-1.79	13.4	13.9	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, LAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHI 67, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 90, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%