inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 118 Excitement4.3 [1030] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +28.1%
Washington Wizards 104 Comeback1.8 [1007] LVPMonte Morris (WAS): -9.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.250.040.011684%0.312-0.035100%0.03
Michael Porter Jr.0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.020.041664%0.131-0.031100%0.00
Jamal Murray0.070,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.021365%0.112-0.0500%0.00
Jeff Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.03669%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Aaron Gordon0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.05686%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.070.01-0.08929%0.0300.00367%-0.01
Bruce Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.011058%0.032-0.004100%0.01
Zeke Nnaji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000100%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Thomas Bryant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Christian Braun-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.060.041769%0.181-0.022100%0.00
Deni Avdija0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.04-0.00-0.02980%0.164-0.11250%-0.01
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.00650%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jordan Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03867%0.031-0.012100%0.00
Kendrick Nunn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.06487%0.0100.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.01650%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Quenton Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Xavier Cooks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jay Huff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Anthony Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.02250%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Johnny Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02935%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.011041%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.030.031040%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.528.415.423.21.830.0123.7
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.3%
DEN +12.1%
WAS -2.1%
DEN +4.6%
DEN +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game15.516.014.4129.7113.0113.4
season14.714.8116.6113.4
opponent14.214.5114.6112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.914.513.716.715.5
WAS15.915.518.813.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray62620.57-0.070.64-0.0822-83015.515.40.0016.914.12.80
Nikola Jokic64660.56-0.060.61-0.2728-144214.318.1-3.7816.614.71.91
Michael Porter Jr.58600.53-0.030.55-0.3028-144214.317.5-3.1917.114.03.05
Aaron Gordon58600.53-0.030.55-0.3028-144214.317.5-3.1917.114.03.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope57570.320.180.140.1468-214.816.5-1.6816.315.60.68
Bruce Brown56590.060.44-0.37-0.0859-415.415.5-0.1515.117.7-2.66
Christian Braun30300.020.48-0.460.23-721-2817.314.52.8114.316.9-2.60
Thomas Bryant540.000.50-0.500.18-620-2620.415.25.2412.716.2-3.42
Vlatko Cancar540.000.50-0.500.18-620-2620.415.25.2412.716.2-3.42
Ish Smith540.000.50-0.500.18-620-2620.415.25.2412.716.2-3.42
Peyton Watson540.000.50-0.500.18-620-2620.415.25.2412.716.2-3.42
Jeff Green2828-0.030.53-0.550.21-822-3017.014.82.1914.216.8-2.60
Zeke Nnaji2222-0.060.56-0.610.18-822-3017.614.82.8215.016.3-1.34

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johnny Davis45460.14-0.650.79-0.2714-284213.818.2-4.3916.814.12.65
Quenton Jackson770.00-0.500.50-0.186-202612.916.3-3.4318.415.23.23
Xavier Cooks770.00-0.500.50-0.186-202612.916.3-3.4318.415.23.23
Jay Huff770.00-0.500.50-0.186-202612.916.3-3.4318.415.23.23
Kendrick Nunn1716-0.04-0.460.41-0.01-1-131214.116.5-2.4116.215.30.89
Anthony Gill2120-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-131214.916.4-1.4515.815.30.51
Delon Wright4038-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-10615.916.1-0.1715.715.30.36
Taj Gibson2220-0.16-0.340.190.11-9-5-416.116.00.0915.515.40.13
Jordan Goodwin3231-0.22-0.280.07-0.10-4-10616.215.90.3015.515.40.15
Corey Kispert5859-0.30-0.20-0.100.05-12-2-1016.515.31.2015.116.1-1.04
Daniel Gafford5356-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-140-1416.515.41.1514.816.5-1.68
Monte Morris4848-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-162-1816.415.60.7414.816.2-1.44
Kristaps Porzingis4340-0.49-0.01-0.480.04-184-2218.014.33.6715.315.6-0.27
Deni Avdija6060-0.520.02-0.540.15-239-3217.113.93.2414.517.4-2.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 84, VAN 730.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
DET 124, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
DAL 99, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,094.6%