NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	121		Excitement	6.5 [614]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +21.1%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	1.3 [1165]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (GSW): -11.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	23	59%	0.28	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Jonathan Kuminga	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.10	0.01	9	85%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	21	66%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.03	4	112%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Jordan Poole	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	8	28%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Usman Garuba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	5	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	12	48%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tari Eason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	16	58%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	0.04	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	19	49%	0.05	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	28.2	14.7	30.3	2.4	29.1	128.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.7%

HOU -3.6%

GSW +7.0%

GSW +0.7%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	14.6	14.4	119.8	105.9	113.4
season	13.9	14.8		114.1	109.8
opponent	13.9	14.1		118.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	12.1	15.3	14.2	13.7
HOU	14.5	12.3	16.7	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	14.5	13.0	1.51	16.3	13.0	3.25
Anthony Lamb	32	31	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	6	1	14.9	13.2	1.78	17.5	13.4	4.03
Jonathan Kuminga	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	10	-7	14.5	12.9	1.59	15.7	13.6	2.08
Klay Thompson	78	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	0	13	13.8	13.6	0.15	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Draymond Green	73	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-1	15	12.8	16.2	-3.45	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Stephen Curry	80	82	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	8	-3	13.1	16.0	-2.81	13.8	18.2	-4.48
JaMychal Green	24	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	9	-5	16.0	13.0	2.93	16.7	14.0	2.70
Kevon Looney	54	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	8	-3	13.3	14.2	-0.96	13.2	16.3	-3.06
Donte DiVincenzo	44	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	12	-11	13.1	14.2	-1.08	13.3	15.7	-2.43
Moses Moody	18	17	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	13	-13	13.4	13.8	-0.41	14.1	14.8	-0.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	84	83	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-15	17	14.0	17.5	-3.46	14.0	12.6	1.35
Tari Eason	70	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-10	7	13.5	17.2	-3.79	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Kenyon Martin Jr.	72	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-5	-3	14.0	16.1	-2.11	13.5	14.3	-0.77
Daishen Nix	33	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	16.2	13.9	2.22	14.0	13.6	0.47
Jalen Green	90	87	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	14.4	16.7	-2.29	13.2	16.8	-3.56
Kevin Porter Jr.	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	14.5	15.2	-0.74	14.1	12.3	1.75
Usman Garuba	37	36	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.09	-14	1	-15	17.0	13.3	3.73	14.3	13.4	0.86
Josh Christopher	44	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	3	-19	16.4	13.3	3.14	14.0	13.5	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, BOS 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
UTA 110, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%