NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	119		Excitement	7.8 [369]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (CHI): +19.9%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	7.2 [398]		LVP	Jae'Sean Tate (HOU): -18.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.01	7	114%	0.24	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	4	92%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.12	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	15	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	26	62%	0.28	4	-0.17	6	83%	0.03
Alex Caruso	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.06	-0.04	5	42%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.03	21	52%	0.08	4	-0.10	10	70%	0.02
Coby White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	14	67%	0.21	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	100%	0.16	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	14	58%	0.16	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.06
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.03	0.05	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Usman Garuba	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	10	41%	-0.04	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.5	14.8	28.0	1.8	37.5	133.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.9%

CHI +12.5%

CHI +8.6%

CHI +16.2%

HOU -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	15.8	14.4	124.0	114.4	113.4
season	14.1	14.8		112.0	109.8
opponent	13.9	14.9		118.0	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	13.0	16.4	11.3	14.0
HOU	14.7	16.3	15.7	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	69	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-9	26	13.9	14.3	-0.32	15.2	17.5	-2.37
DeMar DeRozan	82	81	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-2	12	13.5	17.4	-3.98	15.0	19.9	-4.87
Alex Caruso	59	60	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-2	12	13.7	14.5	-0.78	15.0	17.2	-2.20
Zach LaVine	87	90	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	13.7	17.2	-3.52	15.8	15.9	-0.06
Nikola Vucevic	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	0	8	14.3	13.4	0.87	15.2	17.1	-1.88
Patrick Williams	43	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	6	-4	14.4	13.7	0.74	17.7	14.2	3.48
Andre Drummond	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	13.6	14.2	-0.66	17.1	15.3	1.86
Coby White	30	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	10	-12	15.3	13.5	1.85	17.7	15.0	2.74
Ayo Dosunmu	17	17	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.06	-15	23	-38	16.4	13.5	2.82	17.3	15.5	1.81

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	43	43	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.10	10	-18	28	17.1	14.8	2.36	14.9	13.3	1.63
Tari Eason	42	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-7	6	17.3	14.7	2.57	14.3	13.8	0.55
Usman Garuba	26	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-5	2	16.7	15.5	1.21	13.0	14.4	-1.32
Alperen Sengun	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	15.0	17.5	-2.52	14.5	12.9	1.63
Jalen Green	72	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-4	0	15.3	17.4	-2.10	14.2	13.5	0.78
Kenyon Martin Jr.	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	0	-8	15.1	17.2	-2.09	13.7	14.6	-0.88
Jabari Smith Jr.	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-3	-2	15.6	16.4	-0.86	14.4	13.0	1.32
Kevin Porter Jr.	67	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	2	-12	15.7	16.0	-0.33	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Josh Christopher	33	33	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	8	-24	16.4	15.5	0.89	12.2	15.0	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.39,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	91.8%
HOU 104, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.03,0,0	91.7%
NYK 101, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.04,0.04,0	90.9%