NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	6.8 [260]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +39.4%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	3.4 [120]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -17.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.00	8	89%	0.42	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	68%	0.13	1	-0.08	13	69%	-0.03
Allan Houston	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	17	47%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	19	56%	-0.04	2	-0.05	14	93%	0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.07	0.03	19	61%	0.13	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.04
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	14	29%	-0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	35.3	18.7	28.2	2.6	47.4	164.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.6%

NYK +1.3%

NYK +6.1%

NYK +3.9%

IND -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	16.6	15.8	107.4	101.1	99.6
season	16.0	16.4		97.0	105.4
opponent	16.0	16.6		101.2	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	12.7	14.5	14.9	14.2
IND	15.2	18.7	16.2	16.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	49	49	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.29	20	-13	33	13.8	14.6	-0.76	18.2	14.9	3.28
Marcus Camby	65	63	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.21	20	-13	33	12.9	17.1	-4.15	17.4	14.9	2.58
Larry Johnson	64	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	15.2	12.0	3.28	17.0	15.7	1.34
Allan Houston	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	4	-1	14.1	14.6	-0.51	15.9	20.1	-4.12
Latrell Sprewell	87	86	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	14.5	10.6	3.92	16.6	17.1	-0.57
Chris Dudley	24	26	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	5	-3	13.7	14.4	-0.61	15.3	17.1	-1.81
Rick Brunson	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	6	-5	17.5	14.1	3.37	9.0	16.8	-7.78
Kurt Thomas	52	50	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.13	-5	12	-17	14.3	14.1	0.24	16.9	16.3	0.62
Charlie Ward	49	47	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.07	-17	24	-41	14.5	13.9	0.60	15.2	18.0	-2.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	54	56	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.01	13	-20	33	16.0	17.4	-1.42	14.1	14.3	-0.15
Fred Hoiberg	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	0	-7	18.0	16.3	1.65	16.5	13.8	2.77
Dale Davis	74	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-15	23	16.2	18.3	-2.14	14.3	13.9	0.32
Antonio Davis	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	2	-11	17.0	16.3	0.72	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Sam Perkins	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	3	-13	18.4	16.1	2.28	13.6	14.4	-0.78
Derrick McKey	22	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	10	-27	18.0	16.2	1.76	10.3	15.5	-5.22
Rik Smits	44	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-9	11	16.5	16.7	-0.26	15.2	13.2	2.00
Reggie Miller	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-6	5	16.2	19.4	-3.22	13.9	16.4	-2.53
Mark Jackson	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-6	5	15.9	19.0	-3.13	14.6	12.9	1.69
Jalen Rose	42	41	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	6	-19	18.0	15.5	2.44	14.7	13.8	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.04,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, LAL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.07,0.08,0	92.1%
HOU 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.36,0.16,0,0	91.8%
DET 94, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.4%