inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 114 Excitement8.4 [273] MVPJimmy Butler (MIA): +61.8%
Orlando Magic 126 Comeback2.0 [471] LVPBam Adebayo (MIA): -25.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.620,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.620.210.450.042566%0.662-0.058100%0.05
Max Strus0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.000.00580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Gabe Vincent0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001059%0.042-0.022100%0.01
Tyler Herro0.010,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.030.001354%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Cody Zeller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Jamal Cain0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Love-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.02167%0.011-0.024100%0.02
Omer Yurtseven-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.07-0.02867%0.073-0.11250%-0.01
Victor Oladipo-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.001332%-0.052-0.072100%0.01
Bam Adebayo-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.10-0.140.011741%-0.114-0.1400%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Suggs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.070.240.041073%0.343-0.072100%0.03
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.200.050.051775%0.211-0.02250%-0.01
Franz Wagner0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.011071%0.151-0.03450%-0.03
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.01970%0.193-0.105100%0.02
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03-0.01847%0.0600.001100%0.01
Bol Bol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.020.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Caleb Houstan00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paolo Banchero0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.021450%0.053-0.056100%0.03
Chuma Okeke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.021342%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Markelle Fultz0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.15-0.04-0.091540%0.076-0.1800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.42.328.415.423.52.739.32.79.5149.2
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +33.2%
MIA -0.8%
ORL +14.0%
ORL +1.2%
ORL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game14.814.214.4103.6115.6113.4
season15.114.3111.9111.0
opponent14.514.6113.0112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.013.915.215.516.714.8
ORL13.713.814.813.816.714.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Herro59550.16-0.660.810.27-4-8415.114.50.5613.215.3-2.08
Max Strus58570.11-0.610.71-0.045-172214.615.0-0.3613.814.7-0.96
Omer Yurtseven14150.05-0.550.60-0.043-151813.715.0-1.2514.414.20.20
Kevin Love3636-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-8414.714.8-0.0914.214.3-0.09
Cody Zeller88-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-7214.114.9-0.7412.914.3-1.46
Victor Oladipo5352-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-131414.015.6-1.6312.915.5-2.61
Jimmy Butler7982-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.08-7-5-214.715.0-0.3114.613.01.58
Bam Adebayo8886-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.15-10-2-815.013.91.1814.313.90.46
Kyle Lowry7474-0.620.12-0.74-0.12-175-2214.615.2-0.5714.214.3-0.04
Gabe Vincent7271-0.630.13-0.77-0.37-9-3-615.413.61.8415.711.54.15

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cole Anthony68690.76-0.261.020.411201214.314.00.2914.715.0-0.27
Markelle Fultz75750.56-0.060.61-0.0320-82815.112.32.8115.214.01.14
Jalen Suggs56560.51-0.010.520.191111014.014.5-0.5514.715.0-0.30
Wendell Carter Jr.85860.450.050.390.15102814.413.70.6115.014.20.72
Bol Bol27280.190.31-0.110.17111-1011.815.0-3.2615.314.60.64
Moritz Wagner24240.050.45-0.39-0.00210-813.714.4-0.6114.215.0-0.72
Franz Wagner63630.040.46-0.420.19-517-2213.315.5-2.2014.315.4-1.08
Caleb Houstan11-0.010.51-0.53-0.01012-1220.014.25.828.014.9-6.87
Chuma Okeke77-0.060.56-0.610.03-315-1810.914.5-3.6014.314.8-0.56
Paolo Banchero7677-0.100.60-0.69-0.2148-414.713.11.6814.615.4-0.79
Gary Harris5455-0.390.89-1.29-0.28-416-2014.713.80.8715.114.50.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.86,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.74,0.95,0.92,0.54,0.69,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 111, CLE 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.69,0.55,0.77,0.74,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.95,190.0%
DET 102, BOS 1090.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.54,0.85,0.94,0.9,1,188.8%
CLE 90, CHI 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.96,1,1,188.6%