NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	122		Excitement	9.5 [129]		MVP	Nassir Little (POR): +37.3%
Orlando Magic	119		Comeback	1.6 [544]		LVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): -9.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nassir Little	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.37	0.09	0.29	0.00	6	92%	0.40	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.25,0.14,0.35	0.10	0.27	0.02	25	59%	0.48	5	-0.13	20	85%	0.13
Drew Eubanks	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.07
Cam Reddish	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.14	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.13	0.01	12	77%	0.39	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.10
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.16	0.04	9	65%	0.21	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.06
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.03	-0.03	12	58%	0.12	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.08	0.03	18	57%	0.05	3	-0.09	10	70%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	26.6	13.8	30.4	2.3	43.8	145.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.4%

POR +12.8%

POR +25.1%

ORL -11.1%

ORL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.3	14.4	119.6	116.7	113.4
season	14.7	14.3		113.4	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		113.0	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	13.9	15.5	16.7	15.0
ORL	15.6	12.8	14.0	11.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	79	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-7	17	14.6	16.2	-1.64	12.8	15.2	-2.40
Jerami Grant	84	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-2	7	14.7	16.1	-1.34	13.1	14.0	-0.89
Trendon Watford	45	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-8	19	14.7	15.2	-0.47	14.4	12.4	1.94
Matisse Thybulle	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	-5	13	14.1	16.9	-2.80	13.2	13.4	-0.15
Nassir Little	54	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	5	-7	15.9	13.9	2.07	13.6	12.9	0.71
Cam Reddish	80	77	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.37	-5	8	-13	15.1	14.4	0.75	12.8	14.8	-2.06
Drew Eubanks	57	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	9	-15	15.5	14.3	1.22	12.8	13.9	-1.11
Shaedon Sharpe	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	9	-15	15.6	14.5	1.06	14.7	12.3	2.35

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bol Bol	34	35	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-3	3	14.7	12.6	2.18	14.9	15.0	-0.14
Goga Bitadze	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-6	9	13.4	13.3	0.15	17.6	14.6	2.98
Cole Anthony	48	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-2	1	14.4	12.3	2.18	15.6	14.4	1.27
Admiral Schofield	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	15.6	12.9	2.71	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Moritz Wagner	72	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-2	1	13.2	13.4	-0.21	15.1	14.6	0.53
Caleb Houstan	32	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	1	-5	13.5	13.2	0.27	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Franz Wagner	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-5	7	12.9	14.1	-1.13	15.1	14.7	0.34
Markelle Fultz	77	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	13.0	14.2	-1.27	14.6	15.9	-1.23
Jalen Suggs	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-2	1	12.6	15.2	-2.59	15.0	14.7	0.32
Paolo Banchero	73	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.40	-8	5	-13	12.7	14.8	-2.16	14.6	15.9	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.39,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.15,0	92.9%
HOU 91, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.27,0	92.5%
TOR 99, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	92.5%