NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	7.9 [255]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +14.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	86		Comeback	1.8 [394]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -30.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.27,0.13	0.12	-0.00	-0.00	11	88%	0.35	4	-0.23	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.12	-0.05	0.16	-0.01	12	42%	0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.11	0.00	6	64%	0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Luis Scola	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	10	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	12	33%	-0.01	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.04

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	6	75%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	10	74%	0.20	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	18	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	57%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	11	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.13	0.02	19	32%	-0.22	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	26.7	15.8	25.2	2.4	34.6	132.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +85.3%

HOU +8.1%

CHA -16.4%

CHA -27.8%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.5	102.2	94.5	106.4
season	16.3	16.5		105.9	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		104.5	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	16.3	17.1	17.0	16.4
CHA	15.5	18.8	15.6	13.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	65	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-7	19	16.6	15.7	0.90	16.5	12.9	3.60
Shane Battier	68	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-3	11	16.2	17.2	-1.03	16.2	13.4	2.76
Luis Scola	60	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-2	9	16.8	15.7	1.11	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Yao Ming	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	-2	9	17.1	14.6	2.49	16.6	12.7	3.93
Metta World Peace	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-2	9	16.1	17.4	-1.34	15.1	17.3	-2.26
Kyle Lowry	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	6	-7	17.3	15.7	1.64	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Brent Barry	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	14.1	16.8	-2.68	14.2	15.8	-1.69
Carl Landry	27	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	16.6	16.3	0.32	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Charles Hayes	11	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	9	-13	14.3	16.7	-2.43	16.4	15.5	0.94
Von Wafer	29	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	12	-19	15.4	16.9	-1.52	13.3	16.6	-3.35

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	4	4	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	13.0	15.7	-2.72	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Juwan Howard	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-4	3	22.0	15.2	6.85	18.4	16.3	2.11
D.J. Augustin	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-6	7	15.5	15.7	-0.14	17.0	16.0	0.96
DeSagana Diop	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-6	7	16.7	15.1	1.58	15.6	16.8	-1.16
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-5	5	15.1	16.2	-1.04	16.2	16.6	-0.36
Emeka Okafor	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	16.3	14.6	1.69	17.0	15.6	1.44
Raymond Felton	78	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	15.3	17.2	-1.90	16.5	15.9	0.56
Gerald Wallace	78	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	1	-7	15.5	16.5	-1.00	16.0	19.1	-3.10
Boris Diaw	54	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	14.4	17.3	-2.85	16.9	15.7	1.24
Raja Bell	71	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.38	-9	4	-13	15.9	14.4	1.54	16.0	17.7	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 114, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.15,0	92.6%
UTA 83, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.16,0	92.3%
UTA 101, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.24,0.15,0.07,0.17,0	92.2%